Advanced Football Stats

Unlock the power of NFL analytics with predictive modeling, advanced metrics, and data-driven insights that go beyond traditional box scores.

Why Advanced Football Stats?

Our platform combines machine learning with Bayesian statistics to provide insights that traditional analytics can't match.

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Predictive Models

Bayesian survival analysis models that predict drive outcomes, turnover likelihood, and scoring probabilities with high accuracy.

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Advanced Metrics

Drive efficiency ratings, field position analytics, and turnover models that reveal the true story behind the game.

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Team Rankings

Comprehensive team performance metrics with offensive and defensive rankings that update throughout the season.

Latest Analysis

Stay up-to-date with our latest NFL insights and analysis

Thumbnail for article: Philadelphia Eagles Super Bowl Preview
Analysis

Philadelphia Eagles Super Bowl Preview

The blog post from advancedfootballstats.com highlights the Philadelphia Eagles' impressive journey as they prepare for the Super Bowl against the Kansas City Chiefs. Following a dominant 55-23 victory over the Washington Commanders in the Conference Championship Week, the Eagles have seen a boost in their power ranking, now sitting at the top with an 81.0% win rate against a median opponent. Despite a slight dip in overall drive efficiency, ranked 25th in the league, the team's ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities remains strong. Their defense shines with a 2nd place ranking in defensive drive efficiency, crucial for containing the Chiefs' high-powered offense. The Eagles also boast stellar offensive turnover efficiency, having had zero turnovers in their last game. With a moderate drive time ranking of 17th, they aim to control the clock and limit the Chiefs' scoring chances. As they gear up for the Super Bowl, analytics suggest a 67.8% chance of victory for the Eagles, and they are determined to leverage their strengths and secure the championship title.

Advanced Football Stats

Advanced Football Stats

NFL Analytics Team

Thumbnail for article: Kansas City Chiefs Super Bowl Preview
Analysis

Kansas City Chiefs Super Bowl Preview

In the lead-up to the Super Bowl, the Kansas City Chiefs are reflecting on their performance metrics following a thrilling victory over the Buffalo Bills. Despite a slight improvement in their power ranking to 10th, the team faces challenges with their overall drive efficiency, which has dipped to 15th, and a defensive drive efficiency ranking of 18th. Their offensive drive efficiency has also fallen to 19th, indicating a need for better execution, especially against the formidable Philadelphia Eagles. While the Chiefs managed to generate one turnover against the Bills, their defensive turnover efficiency remains average at 18th. Additionally, their drive time ranking of 28th suggests they are taking longer to advance the ball, which could impact their scoring efficiency. As they prepare for the Super Bowl, the Chiefs recognize the importance of improving their drive efficiency, tightening their defense, and protecting the football to enhance their chances against the Eagles, who are favored to win. With high stakes ahead, the Chiefs are determined to showcase their potential and strive for the championship.

Advanced Football Stats

Advanced Football Stats

NFL Analytics Team

Thumbnail for article: Washington Commanders Conference Championship Week Preview
Analysis

Washington Commanders Conference Championship Week Preview

The blog post from advancedfootballstats.com discusses the Washington Commanders' recent performance as they prepare for the Conference Championship against the Philadelphia Eagles. Following their impressive 45-31 victory over the Detroit Lions, the Commanders have climbed to 9th in power ranking with a win rate of 62.8%. However, their overall drive efficiency and defensive drive efficiency sit at 16th, indicating room for improvement. The offense, currently ranked 24th in drive efficiency, needs to be more consistent, especially against a disciplined Eagles defense. On the bright side, the Commanders have excelled in turnover efficiency, maintaining a clean sheet against the Lions and generating key turnovers. With a strong drive time ranking of 9th, they have shown the ability to manage the clock effectively. As they face the Eagles, who are favored by 6 points, the Commanders have a 39.6% chance of pulling off an upset. The post emphasizes the importance of leveraging their strengths and minimizing turnovers to secure a spot in the Super Bowl.

Advanced Football Stats

Advanced Football Stats

NFL Analytics Team