What is Advanced Football Stats?

Advanced Football Stats is a comprehensive NFL analytics platform that provides predictive modeling, game statistics, drive analysis, and in-depth football insights using machine learning and Bayesian statistics.

How are the game predictions calculated?

Our predictions use Bayesian survival analysis models that consider field position, team strength, game situation, and historical performance. The models predict drive outcomes, turnover likelihood, and scoring probabilities to generate win percentages.

What statistics are available for each NFL team?

We provide comprehensive team statistics including offensive and defensive efficiency ratings, drive success rates, turnover models, field position analytics, and predictive performance metrics for all 32 NFL teams.

How often is the data updated?

Game data and statistics are updated in real-time during games and immediately after games conclude. Team rankings and predictive models are recalculated daily to incorporate the latest results.

What makes these stats 'advanced'?

Our statistics go beyond basic box scores by analyzing drive-level data, field position impact, situational football decisions, and using machine learning to predict future outcomes rather than just reporting past results.

Advanced Football Stats

Analysis

Philadelphia Eagles Super Bowl Preview

The blog post from advancedfootballstats.com highlights the Philadelphia Eagles' impressive journey as they prepare for the Super Bowl against the Kansas City Chiefs. Following a dominant 55-23 victory over the Washington Commanders in the Conference Championship Week, the Eagles have seen a boost in their power ranking, now sitting at the top with an 81.0% win rate against a median opponent. Despite a slight dip in overall drive efficiency, ranked 25th in the league, the team's ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities remains strong. Their defense shines with a 2nd place ranking in defensive drive efficiency, crucial for containing the Chiefs' high-powered offense. The Eagles also boast stellar offensive turnover efficiency, having had zero turnovers in their last game. With a moderate drive time ranking of 17th, they aim to control the clock and limit the Chiefs' scoring chances. As they gear up for the Super Bowl, analytics suggest a 67.8% chance of victory for the Eagles, and they are determined to leverage their strengths and secure the championship title.

Advanced Football Stats

NFL Analytics Team

Analysis

Kansas City Chiefs Super Bowl Preview

In the lead-up to the Super Bowl, the Kansas City Chiefs are reflecting on their performance metrics following a thrilling victory over the Buffalo Bills. Despite a slight improvement in their power ranking to 10th, the team faces challenges with their overall drive efficiency, which has dipped to 15th, and a defensive drive efficiency ranking of 18th. Their offensive drive efficiency has also fallen to 19th, indicating a need for better execution, especially against the formidable Philadelphia Eagles. While the Chiefs managed to generate one turnover against the Bills, their defensive turnover efficiency remains average at 18th. Additionally, their drive time ranking of 28th suggests they are taking longer to advance the ball, which could impact their scoring efficiency. As they prepare for the Super Bowl, the Chiefs recognize the importance of improving their drive efficiency, tightening their defense, and protecting the football to enhance their chances against the Eagles, who are favored to win. With high stakes ahead, the Chiefs are determined to showcase their potential and strive for the championship.

Advanced Football Stats

NFL Analytics Team

Analysis

Washington Commanders Conference Championship Week Preview

The blog post from advancedfootballstats.com discusses the Washington Commanders' recent performance as they prepare for the Conference Championship against the Philadelphia Eagles. Following their impressive 45-31 victory over the Detroit Lions, the Commanders have climbed to 9th in power ranking with a win rate of 62.8%. However, their overall drive efficiency and defensive drive efficiency sit at 16th, indicating room for improvement. The offense, currently ranked 24th in drive efficiency, needs to be more consistent, especially against a disciplined Eagles defense. On the bright side, the Commanders have excelled in turnover efficiency, maintaining a clean sheet against the Lions and generating key turnovers. With a strong drive time ranking of 9th, they have shown the ability to manage the clock effectively. As they face the Eagles, who are favored by 6 points, the Commanders have a 39.6% chance of pulling off an upset. The post emphasizes the importance of leveraging their strengths and minimizing turnovers to secure a spot in the Super Bowl.

Advanced Football Stats

NFL Analytics Team

Advanced Football Stats

Why Advanced Football Stats?

Latest Analysis

Philadelphia Eagles Super Bowl Preview

Kansas City Chiefs Super Bowl Preview

Washington Commanders Conference Championship Week Preview