Going into Week 10, 2026 · Updated
Power rankings, standings and drive efficiency for all 32 teams, rebuilt from every drive after each week's games.
Top 5, going into Week 10
San Francisco 49ers (up 1 place since last week)
Buffalo Bills (down 1 place since last week)
Jacksonville Jaguars (up 4 places since last week)
Seattle Seahawks (no change since last week)
Chicago Bears (no change since last week)Standings going into Week 10
Full standingsCombined rating going into Week 10; 0 = league average
San Francisco 49ers+0.331
Seattle Seahawks+0.211Buffalo's 23-6 win in Minnesota and Green Bay's 45-27 win in New England reshaped two divisions at once. The Bills now win the AFC East in 88% of our simulated seasons, and the Vikings fell from 78% to 58% to make the playoffs. Plus the drive-efficiency movers and the playoff races that changed.
Denver beat Kansas City and cut the Chiefs' chance to win the AFC West from 64% to 44%. Pittsburgh's 27-6 win over Cleveland and Baltimore's 36-10 loss in Buffalo thinned the AFC North to two contenders. Plus the drive-efficiency movers and our best forecasting week so far.
Offenses with scrambling quarterbacks get pressured more than their offensive lines deserve. We measured why on 5,625 tracked dropbacks from weeks 1 to 6 of the 2024 season, and rebuilt the pressure rating without the quarterback's legs.
Each offense and defense is rated on how its drives end (scores, stalls and turnovers), adjusted for opponents and game situation.
Those ratings drive a drive-by-drive simulation of each game, run 2,000 times.
Every team plays a league-average opponent; the power rankings sort teams by how often they win.
Research preview
We're researching player tracking to measure what box scores can't: time to throw, pass-rush pressure and receiver separation. Here is one anonymized play from that pipeline.
See what else video can measure →Sample output from our tracking pipeline on a single pass play, measured at 10 frames per second. Positions are smoothed for display; teams and players are not identified. Separation is the distance to the nearest defender when the ball is thrown.
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