2026

Week 4

Power rankings based on simulated win rate against a league-average opponent. Win Rate shows how often each team wins in 10,000 simulated games, measuring true team strength independent of schedule.

Team	Team	Rank	Win Rate
Buffalo Bills	BUF	1	0.67
San Francisco 49ers	SFO	2	0.61
Seattle Seahawks	SEA	3	0.61
Chicago Bears	CHI	4	0.60
Los Angeles Rams	LAR	5	0.58
Jacksonville Jaguars	JAX	6	0.55
New York Jets	NYJ	7	0.53
Baltimore Ravens	BAL	8	0.53
Indianapolis Colts	IND	9	0.52
Carolina Panthers	CAR	10	0.52
Dallas Cowboys	DAL	11	0.51
New Orleans Saints	NOR	12	0.49
Pittsburgh Steelers	PIT	13	0.49
Kansas City Chiefs	KAN	14	0.49
New York Giants	NYG	15	0.47
Las Vegas Raiders	LVR	16	0.47
Cincinnati Bengals	CIN	17	0.47
New England Patriots	NWE	18	0.46
Philadelphia Eagles	PHI	19	0.46
Detroit Lions	DET	20	0.46
Houston Texans	HOU	21	0.45
Denver Broncos	DEN	22	0.45
Washington Commanders	WAS	23	0.44
Tennessee Titans	TEN	24	0.43
Minnesota Vikings	MIN	25	0.43
Atlanta Falcons	ATL	26	0.43
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	TAM	27	0.41
Cleveland Browns	CLE	28	0.40
Los Angeles Chargers	LAC	29	0.39
Arizona Cardinals	ARI	30	0.37
Miami Dolphins	MIA	31	0.35
Green Bay Packers	GNB	32	0.31