Welcome to Advanced Football Stats: Your Source for NFL Insights

Introduction

Are you an NFL enthusiast seeking a deeper understanding of your favorite teams and their performance? Look no further! Welcome to Advanced Football Stats, your one-stop destination for comprehensive NFL statistics and insightful predictions. Our goal is to provide you with data-driven analyses that go beyond the surface, allowing you to gain a more profound perspective on your favorite teams. Let's explore what we have to offer:

Drive Stats: Unveiling Team Efficiency

Available after week 3

Our drive stats offer a unique glimpse into the efficiency of NFL teams on both offense and defense. Unlike conventional statistics that focus solely on scoring drives, our metrics take into account the team's ability to progress down the field. This means that even if a drive doesn't culminate in points, teams receive credit for the yards gained. These stats consider various factors, such as the opposing defense or offense, the starting point of the drive, time remaining in the game, the score, and homefield advantage.

What sets our drive stats apart is the depth of understanding they provide. Rather than presenting a single point estimate, we offer a distribution of metrics. This enables you to compare teams more comprehensively, moving beyond mere averages to understand the nuances of their performance.

Turnover Models: A Glimpse into Possession Changes

In addition to drive efficiency, we also provide turnover models. These models gauge the likelihood of an offense or defense generating a turnover during a drive. This statistic serves as a valuable proxy for a team's ability to create turnovers or protect the football, shedding light on their overall performance.

Drive Time: The Race Down the Field

Another crucial metric in our arsenal is drive time. This statistic measures how long it takes a team to traverse the field. By examining this metric, you can gain insights into why point totals may be lower and understand a team's ability to maintain possession. Furthermore, it often reflects a team's run/pass balance.

It's worth noting that these statistics incorporate data from all games played before the selected week. For instance, week 4 statistics encompass data from the first three games of the season.

Game Simulations: Predicting the Future

Available after week 3

We take the excitement up a notch by simulating each game of the upcoming week a staggering 10,000 times. These simulations offer valuable insights into how our models anticipate the game will unfold. They provide the most probable final score, along with the percentage of times each team emerged victorious. Furthermore, we calculate the percentage of times each team covered the spread and the percentage of times the game exceeded the total.

While our spread and over/under values are designed to compare against the consensus of sportsbooks and the betting public, please remember that they are intended for entertainment purposes only. For a detailed disclaimer, please visit our disclaimer page.

Season Simulations: Peering into the Future of the NFL Season

Available after week 3

Ever wondered how the NFL season might play out for your favorite team? Our season simulations can provide answers. We simulate the remaining schedule for each team an astonishing 10,000 times, offering a glimpse into the most likely final record. This feature helps you gauge a team's capabilities and understand how the model predicts their remaining strength of schedule.

Join Us on This Journey

At Advanced Football Stats, we are continually searching for ways to enhance your experience. If you have any suggestions or feedback, please don't hesitate to reach out to us at admin@advancedfootballstats.com.

Thank you for choosing Advanced Football Stats as your source for NFL insights. We look forward to sharing a data-driven journey through the NFL with you.