Denver Broncos Week 4 Preview

By: advancedfootballstats.com | 2023-09-27

Introduction

Well, well, well, Broncos fans, what a whirlwind of emotions we experienced in Week 3! After a shocking 20 to 70 loss against the Miami Dolphins, we have a lot to unpack. The Broncos' performance was a rollercoaster ride, and not the fun kind. With a power ranking of 25 and a win rate against a median opponent sitting at a disheartening 45.0%, it’s safe to say we’ve got some serious work to do. But hey, it’s a new week, and with the Chicago Bears coming to town, we have a chance to turn things around. Let’s dive into the stats and see where we stand as we gear up for Week 4!

Power Ranking

Currently sitting at 25th in the power rankings, the Broncos find themselves in the bottom half of the league. It’s a tough pill to swallow, especially after the blowout loss last week. But let’s not forget that rankings can fluctuate wildly in the NFL. With a win rate of 45.0% against a median opponent, we’re on the cusp of improving. A win against the Bears could catapult us into a more respectable position, so let’s channel our inner underdog and make it happen!

Overall Drive Efficiency

Drive efficiency is where the rubber meets the road, and unfortunately, our wheels were spinning last week. The Broncos managed to rack up 363 yards, but with three turnovers, our overall drive efficiency took a nosedive. In comparison, the Dolphins showcased an impressive 726 yards with zero turnovers, highlighting just how much we need to tighten up our game. This week, we need to focus on sustaining drives and capitalizing on opportunities to keep the chains moving and the scoreboard ticking.

Defensive Drive Efficiency

Let’s talk defense, shall we? The Broncos' defensive drive efficiency has been a sore spot, and last week was no exception. The Dolphins made it look too easy, slicing through our defense like a hot knife through butter. We need to tighten our coverage and make it harder for offenses to gain yards. If we can improve our defensive drive efficiency, we can put ourselves in a better position to win games. It’s all about making those crucial stops and forcing the opposition into tough situations.

Offensive Drive Efficiency

On the offensive side, our drive efficiency left much to be desired. With three turnovers, we not only failed to capitalize on our drives, but we also handed the Dolphins prime opportunities to score. We need to be more disciplined and execute our plays with precision. This week against the Bears, it’s crucial that we find our rhythm and establish a strong offensive presence. If we can improve our offensive drive efficiency, we’ll be well on our way to putting points on the board and regaining some much-needed confidence.

Defensive Turnover Efficiency

Speaking of turnovers, our defensive turnover efficiency has been lackluster. Generating turnovers can swing the momentum of a game, and we need to make it a priority. Last week, we failed to create any turnovers, while the Dolphins were feasting on our mistakes. This week, we need to focus on creating pressure, forcing bad throws, and capitalizing on any opportunities that come our way. A few timely turnovers could be the difference between a win and a loss.

Offensive Turnover Efficiency

Now, let’s address the elephant in the room: our offensive turnover efficiency. With three turnovers last week, we’re clearly not doing ourselves any favors. It’s like trying to win a race while tripping over your own shoelaces. We need to protect the ball and make smarter decisions on the field. This week against the Bears, we must prioritize ball security and avoid those costly mistakes that have plagued us in the past. If we can do that, we’ll be in a much better position to succeed.

Drive Time

Drive time is another critical metric, and while we managed to gain some yards, our time per yard gained was less than ideal. We need to find a balance between maintaining possession and moving the ball efficiently. High drive time can be beneficial for controlling the clock, but we need to ensure we’re not taking too long to score. This week, let’s aim for a more efficient drive time that allows us to keep our defense fresh while also putting points on the board.

Preview For Next Week

Looking ahead to Week 4, we’re set to face the Chicago Bears, who are also looking for a bounce-back performance after a rocky start to their season. The simulations from advancedfootballstats.com predict a close matchup, with the Bears scoring 31 points and the Broncos at 24. However, we have a 50.64% chance of winning, and the Bears are projected to cover the spread 55.83% of the time. With an over/under of 46 points, it’s shaping up to be an exciting game. If we can tighten up our stats and play smart football, we have a real shot at coming away with a win.

Conclusion

In conclusion, Broncos Country, it’s time to rally together and support our team as we look to turn the tide this week. The stats may not be in our favor right now, but with hard work and determination, we can improve our performance and secure a much-needed victory against the Bears. Let’s hope for a strong showing, and remember: every game is a new opportunity to rise from the ashes.

Stay tuned to advancedfootballstats.com for more data-driven insights and analysis as we continue to follow the Denver Broncos' journey throughout the 2023 NFL season.