New Orleans Saints Week 5 Preview

By: advancedfootballstats.com | 2023-10-04

Introduction

After a disappointing performance against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 4, the New Orleans Saints are looking to rebound as they head into Week 5 of the 2023 NFL season. With a loss that saw them struggle offensively and give away possession too easily, the Saints have some serious adjustments to make if they want to turn their season around. This week, we’ll dive into the numbers to see how the Saints stack up against their previous performance and what they need to focus on as they prepare for their upcoming matchup.

Power Ranking

Currently, the Saints sit at a power ranking of 23, which is a stark reminder that they are firmly in the bottom half of the league. With a win rate against a median opponent of just 47.0%, it’s clear that the Saints have not been able to find their rhythm in the early part of this season. The power ranking is a reflection of their struggles, and they’ll need to elevate their game significantly if they want to climb out of this hole. A win in Week 5 could provide the spark they desperately need to boost their confidence and standings.

Overall Drive Efficiency

The Saints’ overall drive efficiency ranks 20th in the league, which is not exactly the kind of stat that makes fans jump for joy. While their defense has shown some promise, the offense has been sluggish, ranking 28th in offensive drive efficiency. This means that while the Saints can occasionally move the ball, they often stall out before reaching the end zone. Improving this efficiency will be crucial if they want to start scoring points and winning games.

Defensive Drive Efficiency

On the bright side, the Saints’ defensive drive efficiency ranks an impressive 6th in the league. This statistic highlights their ability to limit opposing offenses and force them into tough situations. However, it’s a bit of a double-edged sword: while the defense is doing its job, the offense needs to capitalize on these opportunities. If the Saints can maintain their defensive prowess while finding a way to support their offense, they could start to see a turnaround in their fortunes.

Offensive Drive Efficiency

Unfortunately, the Saints’ offensive drive efficiency is a glaring issue, ranking 28th in the league. This is a significant drop from what fans expect from a team with such a rich history of offensive talent. The inability to sustain drives and convert opportunities into points has been a major factor in their recent struggles. The coaching staff will need to devise a game plan that maximizes the strengths of their playmakers and minimizes mistakes.

Defensive Turnover Efficiency

The Saints’ defensive turnover efficiency is ranked 16th, which is right in the middle of the pack. While they have shown the ability to generate turnovers, they need to take it up a notch. Creating turnovers can change the momentum of a game, and the Saints need to be more aggressive in their pursuit of the ball. If they can improve this stat, it will not only help their defense but also give their struggling offense a much-needed boost in field position.

Offensive Turnover Efficiency

The Saints have been surprisingly efficient in maintaining possession, ranking 5th in offensive turnover efficiency. This is a silver lining in an otherwise cloudy performance. However, the three turnovers against the Buccaneers last week highlight that even the best can falter. The key for the Saints will be to build on this efficiency, ensuring that they protect the ball while finding ways to move it down the field.

Drive Time

The Saints rank 13th in drive time, indicating that they take a reasonable amount of time to move the ball down the field. However, with their current offensive struggles, this time could be better spent converting drives into points. While a slower drive can be beneficial for controlling the clock, it becomes a liability when the offense isn’t scoring. The Saints need to find a balance between maintaining possession and being efficient in their scoring opportunities.

Preview For Next Week

Looking ahead to Week 5, the Saints will face the New England Patriots, who are currently favored by 1.5 points. The over/under for the game is set at 40.5 points, indicating that both teams may struggle to find the end zone. The simulations from advancedfootballstats.com predict that the Saints have a 50.82% chance of winning, with a 54.03% chance of covering the spread. With the Patriots’ own struggles this season, this matchup presents a prime opportunity for the Saints to turn their season around. If they can harness their defensive strengths and find a way to get their offense clicking, they could very well come away with a much-needed victory.

Conclusion

In conclusion, the New Orleans Saints have a lot to work on as they prepare for Week 5. While their defense has shown promise, the offense needs to step up and start producing points. With a challenging matchup against the Patriots on the horizon, the Saints must focus on improving their overall drive efficiency and maintaining their defensive edge. If they can do that, there’s a good chance they’ll leave the field with a win and some much-needed momentum as they continue their journey through the 2023 NFL season.

Stay tuned to advancedfootballstats.com for more data-driven insights and analysis as we continue to follow the New Orleans Saints' journey throughout the 2023 NFL season.