Washington Commanders Week 10 Preview

By: advancedfootballstats.com | 2023-11-08

Introduction

After a thrilling victory over the New England Patriots, the Washington Commanders are riding high into Week 10 of the 2023 NFL season. With a hard-fought 20-17 win, the Commanders showcased their resilience and ability to capitalize on opportunities, despite some hiccups along the way. As we delve into the numbers, it’s clear that while there’s room for improvement, there are also glimmers of hope as the team seeks to build on this momentum. Let's break down the key stats from Week 9 and see how they stack up as we gear up for a challenging matchup against the Seattle Seahawks.

Power Ranking

The Commanders find themselves ranked 25th in the power rankings with a win rate of 42.0% against a median opponent. While this places us firmly in the bottom half of the league, it’s important to remember that power rankings are fluid and can change dramatically based on performance. The victory over the Patriots may not have catapulted us into the upper echelon, but it certainly gives us a fighting chance to climb the ranks if we can string together a few more wins. As we prepare for the Seahawks, we’ll need to channel that winning energy to improve our standing.

Overall Drive Efficiency

Currently, the Commanders rank 26th in overall drive efficiency, which is a clear indicator that we need to get better at sustaining drives and putting points on the board. In Week 9, we gained 432 yards but also committed two turnovers, which is a classic case of shooting ourselves in the foot. While our yardage shows promise, the inability to convert that into consistent scoring opportunities is a concern. As we head into Week 10, improving our drive efficiency will be crucial if we want to keep pace with the Seahawks and their potent offense.

Defensive Drive Efficiency

On the defensive side of the ball, we currently sit at 23rd in defensive drive efficiency. This statistic highlights our struggles in preventing opposing offenses from moving down the field. Against the Patriots, we allowed 327 yards, which isn’t terrible, but we need to tighten up our coverage and make stops when it matters most. If we can improve our defensive drive efficiency, we’ll not only give our offense more opportunities but also keep the score in our favor. The Seahawks will be a tough test, so our defense must step up to the challenge.

Offensive Drive Efficiency

Offensively, we rank 22nd in drive efficiency, which is a reflection of our inconsistency in moving the ball effectively. While we managed to rack up 432 yards last week, the two turnovers were a significant setback. We need to find a way to convert our drives into points more consistently, especially as we face a formidable Seahawks defense. The key will be finding a rhythm and maintaining possession, which will allow us to control the tempo of the game.

Defensive Turnover Efficiency

Our defensive turnover efficiency ranks 26th, which means we’ve struggled to generate turnovers and create opportunities for our offense. This is an area that desperately needs improvement. Against the Patriots, we failed to capitalize on their mistakes, and that’s something we cannot afford against the Seahawks. If we want to come out on top, we need to create turnovers and give our offense a short field to work with. A few timely interceptions or fumble recoveries could make all the difference.

Offensive Turnover Efficiency

On the offensive side, we rank 20th in turnover efficiency. While we’re not the worst in the league, two turnovers against the Patriots show that we still have a lot of work to do. Protecting the ball is paramount, especially as we face a Seahawks team that will be looking to capitalize on any mistakes. If we can minimize turnovers, we’ll give ourselves a much better chance of success in this pivotal matchup.

Drive Time

With a drive time ranking of 11th, the Commanders have shown the ability to sustain drives, taking an average of 30 seconds per yard gained. This suggests that while we can move the ball, we tend to take our time doing it. This can be a double-edged sword; on one hand, it helps control the clock, but on the other, it can lead to missed scoring opportunities. As we prepare for the Seahawks, finding a balance between maintaining possession and quick scoring will be essential. We need to strike when the iron is hot!

Preview For Next Week

Looking ahead to our Week 10 matchup against the Seattle Seahawks, we find ourselves in a challenging position. The Seahawks are favored by 6.0 points, and while the odds may not be in our favor, our simulations suggest we have a 54.0% chance of winning and a 68.45% chance of covering the spread. The over/under is set at 45.5 points, and our simulations predict a final score of 24-17 in favor of the Commanders. This matchup will be a true test of our resolve, and if we can harness the energy from our last victory, we might just pull off another upset.

Conclusion

As we head into Week 10, the Washington Commanders have a chance to build on last week's success and prove that we can compete with the best. While the stats indicate areas for improvement, there’s also a sense of optimism as we prepare to face the Seahawks. With a focus on improving our drive efficiency, generating turnovers, and protecting the ball, we can give ourselves a fighting chance. Let’s rally behind our team and see if we can secure another win!

Stay tuned to advancedfootballstats.com for more data-driven insights and analysis as we continue to follow the Washington Commanders' journey throughout the 2023 NFL season.