Detroit Lions Week 12 Preview

By: advancedfootballstats.com | 2023-11-22

Introduction

After a thrilling victory against the Chicago Bears in Week 11, the Detroit Lions are gearing up for another exciting matchup in Week 12. The Lions managed to edge out the Bears with a score of 31-26, but the game was not without its challenges. With four turnovers and a power ranking that leaves much to be desired, the Lions have some serious work to do as they prepare for their next opponent. Let’s dive into the numbers and see how the Lions stack up heading into this crucial week.

Power Ranking

Currently, the Detroit Lions sit at a power ranking of 22, which is certainly not where we want to be. With a win rate of only 46.0% against a median opponent, it’s clear that we need to step up our game. While winning against the Bears was a positive, we must remember that the power rankings reflect our overall performance throughout the season, and we are firmly in the bottom half of the league. This week, we need to channel our inner underdog and prove that we can rise above the rankings.

Overall Drive Efficiency

The Lions have shown flashes of brilliance with an overall drive efficiency ranking of 8. This is an improvement from last week, where we ranked 8th as well, indicating that our ability to move the ball down the field is solid. However, we must remain vigilant; while we can drive efficiently, we must also convert those drives into points. The four turnovers against the Bears were a stark reminder that efficiency means nothing if we can’t protect the ball.

Defensive Drive Efficiency

On the defensive side, we find ourselves ranked 19th in defensive drive efficiency. This is a slight dip from last week, and it raises some eyebrows. While we managed to contain the Bears’ offense for the most part, allowing them to gain 334 yards is not a statistic we can be proud of. As we prepare for our next opponent, tightening up our defense will be crucial. We need to make it harder for them to gain yards and, more importantly, get off the field on third downs.

Offensive Drive Efficiency

The Lions have been impressive on offense, ranking 6th in offensive drive efficiency. This is a testament to our ability to sustain drives and score points. However, we must remember that efficiency is not just about moving the ball; it’s also about capitalizing on opportunities. With four turnovers last week, we squandered several chances to put the game away. If we can maintain our offensive efficiency while minimizing mistakes, we can become a formidable force in the league.

Defensive Turnover Efficiency

Our defensive turnover efficiency ranks 13th, which is a decent position, but we can do better. Generating turnovers is key to winning games, and while we managed to force one turnover against the Bears, we need to be more aggressive in creating opportunities for our offense. A higher turnover rate can swing the momentum of a game, and we need to harness that energy if we want to climb the power rankings.

Offensive Turnover Efficiency

Unfortunately, our offensive turnover efficiency is a different story, as we sit at 6th in the league. While this sounds good, it’s a double-edged sword. It means we can move the ball effectively, but when we do turn it over, it’s often at the worst possible times. The four turnovers against the Bears were a glaring example of this. If we can clean up our act and protect the ball, we can elevate our overall performance and make life easier for our defense.

Drive Time

The Lions rank 18th in drive time, which suggests we take a moderate amount of time to score. While this can be beneficial in controlling the clock, we need to find a balance. Our ability to score quickly can put pressure on opposing defenses, but we also need to maintain possession when necessary. A lower drive time can lead to more scoring opportunities, and we need to capitalize on that as we move forward.

Preview For Next Week

Looking ahead to Week 12, the Lions will face off against the Green Bay Packers, a team that has had its ups and downs this season. The Lions are currently favored by 8.5 points, and with an over/under set at 46.5 points, it’s shaping up to be an exciting matchup. Our simulations predict a close game, with the Lions winning 56.1% of the time. However, the Packers are not to be underestimated, and they will be looking to cover the spread. This game will be crucial for both teams as they jockey for playoff positioning, and we need to come out strong and execute our game plan effectively.

Conclusion

As we prepare for our Week 12 matchup against the Packers, it’s clear that the Detroit Lions have both strengths and weaknesses to address. While our offensive efficiency is impressive, we must minimize turnovers and tighten up our defense. The power rankings may not be in our favor, but with hard work and determination, we can turn the tide in our favor. Let’s rally together and show the league what the Lions are made of!

Stay tuned to advancedfootballstats.com for more data-driven insights and analysis as we continue to follow the Detroit Lions' journey throughout the 2023 NFL season.