Houston Texans Week 13 Preview

By: advancedfootballstats.com | 2023-11-29

Introduction

After a nail-biter against the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 12, where the Houston Texans narrowly fell 21-24, it’s time to dive into the numbers and see how they stack up heading into Week 13. The Texans showcased their offensive prowess with 352 yards and zero turnovers, but ultimately, it wasn’t enough to secure the win. As we look ahead, let’s dissect the stats and see what they tell us about the Texans’ performance and what we can expect in the upcoming matchup.

Power Ranking

The Texans currently sit at 15th in the power rankings with a win rate of 53.0% against a median opponent. While this places them in the bottom half of the league, it’s worth noting that they are on the cusp of breaking into the upper echelon. A few more wins could see them climbing the ranks, but for now, they need to focus on consistency and execution to improve their standing.

Overall Drive Efficiency

In terms of overall drive efficiency, the Texans rank 9th in the league. This is a significant improvement from previous seasons, showcasing their ability to sustain drives and put points on the board. However, the loss to the Jaguars highlighted the need for even better execution in critical moments. With a drive efficiency ranking this high, the Texans have the potential to be a formidable offensive force if they can capitalize on their opportunities.

Defensive Drive Efficiency

The Texans find themselves ranked 18th in defensive drive efficiency. This is a bit of a mixed bag; while they have shown flashes of brilliance, they also struggle at times to halt opposing offenses. The Jaguars, for example, managed to rack up 445 yards against them. Improving this metric will be crucial as they face tougher opponents down the stretch. A more aggressive defensive strategy could help them tighten the screws and limit the yardage gained by their adversaries.

Offensive Drive Efficiency

On the bright side, the Texans’ offensive drive efficiency ranks 9th, which is a testament to their ability to move the ball effectively. With zero turnovers last week, they demonstrated a commendable level of ball security. However, they need to convert more of these drives into touchdowns rather than field goals. If they can maintain this efficiency while improving their red-zone execution, they will be a force to reckon with in the coming weeks.

Defensive Turnover Efficiency

The Texans rank 17th in defensive turnover efficiency, which indicates a moderate ability to create turnovers. While they managed to force one turnover against the Jaguars, they need to ramp up their efforts in this area. Generating more turnovers can provide the offense with short fields and additional scoring opportunities, which could be the difference between winning and losing in tight games.

Offensive Turnover Efficiency

The Texans are shining in the offensive turnover efficiency department, ranking 2nd in the league. This is a remarkable feat, especially considering the high-pressure situations that come with NFL games. Their ability to protect the ball has been a key factor in their offensive success, and if they can continue this trend, they will be well-positioned to make a playoff push. Ball security is king, and the Texans are wearing the crown right now.

Drive Time

With a drive time ranking of 6th, the Texans have proven to be efficient in their offensive drives, taking fewer seconds per yard gained. This quick-strike capability can be a double-edged sword; while it allows for fast scoring, it can also lead to less time for the defense to rest. Balancing this efficiency with a methodical approach to clock management will be key as they look to control the tempo of the game.

Preview For Next Week

Looking ahead to Week 13, the Texans will face off against the Denver Broncos. The Texans are favored by 3.5 points, and the over/under is set at 47.5 points. Advanced Football Stats simulations predict the Texans will win 58.9% of the time, with a common final score of 31-24 in favor of Houston. This matchup presents an excellent opportunity for the Texans to leverage their offensive efficiency against a Broncos team that has had its ups and downs this season. If the Texans can maintain their momentum and improve their defensive performance, they could secure a much-needed victory to bolster their playoff aspirations.

Conclusion

As the Texans gear up for their Week 13 clash, the focus will be on building off their strengths while addressing areas that need improvement. With a solid offensive foundation and a few tweaks on defense, they have the potential to turn their season around. Stay tuned as we continue to analyze their journey through the 2023 NFL season.

Stay tuned to advancedfootballstats.com for more data-driven insights and analysis as we continue to follow the Houston Texans' journey throughout the 2023 NFL season.