Miami Dolphins Week 13 Preview

By: advancedfootballstats.com | 2023-11-29

Introduction

After a commanding victory over the New York Jets in Week 12, the Miami Dolphins are riding high on a wave of momentum as they prepare for their Week 13 matchup. The Dolphins showcased their offensive prowess, scoring 34 points while limiting the Jets to just 13. This performance not only solidified their position in the playoff race but also highlighted the stark contrast between their explosive offense and the Jets' struggling attack. As we dive into the numbers, we’ll see how the Dolphins stack up statistically and what to expect in their upcoming game.

Power Ranking

The Dolphins currently sit at a respectable 7th in the power rankings with a win rate of 59.0% against a median opponent. This ranking reflects their ability to consistently outperform teams, especially in high-stakes situations. With their recent victory, they’ve proven that they can dominate on the field, which is crucial as they head into the final stretch of the season. However, being in the bottom half of the league means there’s still room for improvement, especially if they want to secure a favorable playoff position.

Overall Drive Efficiency

The Dolphins lead the league in overall drive efficiency, ranking 1st among all 32 teams. This is a testament to their ability to sustain drives and convert opportunities into points. In Week 12, they amassed 395 yards, demonstrating their capacity to move the ball effectively. Their efficiency not only contributes to scoring but also keeps opposing offenses off the field, which is a strategic advantage. However, maintaining this level of efficiency will be critical as they face tougher defenses in the coming weeks.

Defensive Drive Efficiency

On the defensive side, the Dolphins find themselves ranked 23rd in defensive drive efficiency. While they have shown flashes of brilliance, allowing only 159 yards to the Jets, there’s a clear need for improvement. The defense must tighten up to prevent opposing offenses from gaining momentum. As they head into Week 13, focusing on improving this metric will be essential, especially against teams that can exploit weaknesses and capitalize on mistakes.

Offensive Drive Efficiency

In stark contrast to their defensive performance, the Dolphins’ offense is firing on all cylinders, ranking 1st in offensive drive efficiency. This means they are not only moving the ball well but doing so with a purpose, converting drives into touchdowns at an impressive rate. The Week 12 game against the Jets was a perfect example of this efficiency, with the Dolphins executing their game plan flawlessly. If they can continue this trend, they will be a formidable opponent for any defense they face.

Defensive Turnover Efficiency

The Dolphins rank 10th in defensive turnover efficiency, which indicates a solid ability to generate turnovers when needed. In the game against the Jets, they capitalized on two turnovers, which significantly contributed to their victory. For a team looking to solidify its playoff chances, creating turnovers can be a game-changer. If the Dolphins can maintain or improve this ranking, they will put themselves in a great position to win close games down the stretch.

Offensive Turnover Efficiency

On the flip side, the Dolphins rank 21st in offensive turnover efficiency. While they have a potent offense, they need to be more careful with the ball. Three turnovers against the Jets are a reminder that even the best offenses can falter. As they prepare for their next matchup, minimizing turnovers will be crucial. The Dolphins must find a balance between aggressive play-calling and ball security to maintain their offensive momentum.

Drive Time

The Dolphins rank 2nd in drive time, meaning they are efficient in their ability to move the ball quickly down the field. This is a double-edged sword; while it allows them to score rapidly, it can also leave their defense on the field longer. In Week 12, their quick drives helped them maintain control of the game, but as they face tougher opponents, balancing speed with time of possession will be key to keeping their defense fresh and effective.

Preview For Next Week

Looking ahead to Week 13, the Dolphins will face a challenging matchup against the Washington Commanders. The Commanders are known for their defensive prowess, currently ranking 2nd in defensive drive efficiency. This will be a true test for the Dolphins’ high-octane offense. The simulations predict the Dolphins to win 77.25% of the time, but they must be cautious. If they can maintain their offensive efficiency while tightening up their defense, they should be able to secure another victory. The over/under of 49.5 points suggests a potentially high-scoring affair, so fans can expect an exciting game filled with explosive plays.

Conclusion

As the Dolphins prepare for their Week 13 matchup, the stats tell a story of a team with incredible offensive potential but areas that need improvement on defense. With their current rankings, they have the tools to make a deep playoff run, but consistency will be key. Fans should be excited as the Dolphins look to build on their success and continue to make waves in the NFL.

Stay tuned to advancedfootballstats.com for more data-driven insights and analysis as we continue to follow the Miami Dolphins' journey throughout the 2023 NFL season.