New Orleans Saints Week 13 Preview

By: advancedfootballstats.com | 2023-11-29

Introduction

After a tough loss to the Atlanta Falcons in Week 12, the New Orleans Saints are looking to rebound as they head into Week 13. The Saints fell short in a game where they outgained their opponents but were unable to capitalize on key opportunities. As we dive into the stats from last week and compare them to the upcoming matchup, we’ll explore how the Saints can turn their fortunes around and what we can expect from their performance going forward.

Power Ranking

The Saints currently sit at 18th in the power rankings, with a win rate against a median opponent of just 46.0%. This is a stark reminder that while the Saints have shown flashes of brilliance, consistency has been their Achilles' heel. At this point in the season, being in the bottom half of the league is not where we want to be. The team needs to find a way to elevate their performance and improve their standing, especially as they face tougher opponents in the coming weeks.

Overall Drive Efficiency

The Saints rank 13th in overall drive efficiency, which indicates that they have the potential to move the ball effectively. However, this is a mixed bag; while they are capable of sustaining drives, they often stall when it matters most. In Week 12, despite racking up 444 yards, they were unable to convert that into points, which underscores the need for greater efficiency in the red zone. If they can harness their drive efficiency and translate yards into touchdowns, they can significantly improve their chances of winning.

Defensive Drive Efficiency

On the defensive side, the Saints are performing admirably, currently ranked 4th in defensive drive efficiency. This statistic reflects their ability to stifle opposing offenses and prevent them from gaining momentum. In Week 12, they faced a Falcons team that managed to gain 396 yards, but the Saints' defense was able to force two turnovers, showcasing their capacity to create chaos when needed. Maintaining this level of defensive performance will be crucial as they prepare for their upcoming matchup.

Offensive Drive Efficiency

Unfortunately, the Saints' offensive drive efficiency tells a different story, ranking 22nd in the league. This is a clear area for improvement. The offense needs to find a rhythm and establish a more potent attack, especially in critical situations. The inability to score touchdowns despite gaining significant yardage is a glaring issue that must be addressed. If the Saints can find a way to improve their offensive efficiency, they could turn those long drives into points, which is essential for winning games.

Defensive Turnover Efficiency

The Saints rank 15th in defensive turnover efficiency, which is a bit of a mixed bag. While they have shown the ability to generate turnovers, they need to be more consistent in this area. In Week 12, forcing two turnovers was a bright spot, but to truly elevate their defensive game, they must increase their turnover rate. This could be the difference between a close loss and a solid victory in upcoming games.

Offensive Turnover Efficiency

On the other hand, the Saints are excelling in offensive turnover efficiency, where they rank 4th in the league. This is a testament to their ability to maintain possession and limit mistakes. However, they must balance this with a more aggressive offensive approach. While protecting the ball is crucial, being overly cautious can lead to missed opportunities. The Saints need to find the right balance to capitalize on their offensive strengths while minimizing turnovers.

Drive Time

The Saints rank 10th in drive time, indicating that they take a reasonable amount of time to move down the field. While this can be beneficial in controlling the clock, it can also lead to missed scoring opportunities if drives stall. In Week 12, their drive time was indicative of a team that can maintain possession, but they need to ensure that this translates into points on the board. Quick, efficient drives that result in touchdowns will be key to their success in the coming weeks.

Preview For Next Week

As the Saints prepare to face the Detroit Lions in Week 13, they have a tough challenge ahead. The Lions are favored by 4.5 points, and the simulations predict a final score of Saints 17, Lions 27. With the Lions sitting at a higher power ranking and boasting a potent offense, the Saints will need to bring their A-game. The key to victory will be improving their offensive drive efficiency and maintaining their strong defensive performance. If they can find a way to score early and often while stifling the Lions' attack, they may just turn the tide in their favor.

Conclusion

In conclusion, the Saints have the potential to turn their season around, but they need to address several key areas to do so. By focusing on improving their offensive drive efficiency and maintaining their defensive prowess, they can set themselves up for success in the coming weeks. As they prepare for their matchup against the Lions, fans can only hope that the team finds the right formula to secure a much-needed victory.

Stay tuned to advancedfootballstats.com for more data-driven insights and analysis as we continue to follow the New Orleans Saints' journey throughout the 2023 NFL season.