Buffalo Bills Week 15 Preview

By: advancedfootballstats.com | 2023-12-13

Introduction

The Buffalo Bills are riding high after a nail-biting victory against the Kansas City Chiefs in Week 14, where they managed to edge out a win with a score of 20 to 17. This week, as we gear up for our matchup against the Dallas Cowboys, it's time to dive into the numbers and see how we stack up compared to last week. Spoiler alert: there’s plenty to discuss, and we’re not just talking about the weather in Buffalo!

Power Ranking

The Bills currently sit at a power ranking of 6, with a commendable win rate of 65.0% against a median opponent. This is a slight dip from our previous ranking, but it’s important to remember that power rankings are fluid, much like the play of our beloved Josh Allen. While we may not be in the top tier, we’re still firmly in playoff contention, and every game is a chance to climb higher. We’re looking to solidify our position and show the league that we’re not just a flash in the pan!

Overall Drive Efficiency

Our overall drive efficiency has seen a slight improvement, now ranking 9th in the league. This is a positive sign, especially considering we were able to maintain our composure against a formidable Chiefs defense. However, we still have room for improvement, particularly in our defensive drive efficiency, which currently sits at 28th. We need to tighten up and ensure that we’re not giving our opponents too many opportunities to march down the field.

Defensive Drive Efficiency

Speaking of defensive drive efficiency, we’re currently ranked 28th out of 32 teams. Ouch! This is a statistic that we can’t ignore. While our offense has been lighting up the scoreboard, our defense has been a bit of a leaky faucet. We need to step up our game and prevent opposing offenses from gaining those crucial yards. If we can tighten our defensive screws, we’ll be in a much better position to win games, especially against high-powered offenses like the Cowboys.

Offensive Drive Efficiency

On the bright side, our offensive drive efficiency ranks 5th in the league! This is a testament to our explosive offense and ability to move the ball effectively. The combination of Allen’s arm strength and our dynamic receiving corps has allowed us to put points on the board consistently. If we can maintain this level of efficiency, we’ll be a tough team to beat, regardless of the opponent.

Defensive Turnover Efficiency

Our defensive turnover efficiency is currently sitting at 13th, which is a bit of a mixed bag. While we’re not generating turnovers at an elite level, we’re also not completely inept in this department. For us to take the next step, we need to capitalize on our opponents' mistakes and create more opportunities for our offense. A timely interception or forced fumble could be the difference in a close game, and we need to be ready to seize those moments.

Offensive Turnover Efficiency

Our offensive turnover efficiency is also ranked 13th, which is a bit concerning. While we’re not giving the ball away at an alarming rate, we need to be more disciplined with our possessions. Turnovers can be game-changers, and we’ve seen too many times how a single mistake can swing momentum in favor of our opponents. As we head into Week 15, we need to prioritize ball security and make smart decisions with the football.

Drive Time

Our drive time is currently ranked 18th, which indicates that we’re taking a moderate amount of time to move the ball down the field. While this isn’t necessarily a bad thing, it’s crucial that we find a balance between maintaining possession and scoring quickly. In the upcoming matchup against the Cowboys, we may need to adjust our approach and find ways to speed up our drives without sacrificing efficiency. After all, time is money, and in the NFL, time on the clock can be the difference between victory and defeat.

Preview For Next Week

Looking ahead to Week 15, we’re set to face off against the Dallas Cowboys. The Cowboys are a formidable opponent, currently boasting a strong offense and a defense that can create turnovers. According to our simulations, the Cowboys are favored to win with a 66.65% chance, and they’re expected to cover the spread 70.1% of the time. With an over/under of 50.5 points, it’s shaping up to be a high-scoring affair. We need to come out strong and set the tone early. If we can establish our offensive rhythm and tighten up our defense, we can certainly upset the odds and walk away with a victory.

Conclusion

In conclusion, while we’ve had our ups and downs this season, there’s still plenty of reason to be optimistic as we head into Week 15. Our offense is firing on all cylinders, but we need to address our defensive shortcomings to truly compete at a high level. The upcoming matchup against the Cowboys is a critical one, and we’ll need to bring our A-game if we want to secure a win. Let’s rally together, Bills Mafia, and show the league what we’re made of!

Stay tuned to advancedfootballstats.com for more data-driven insights and analysis as we continue to follow the Buffalo Bills' journey throughout the 2023 NFL season.