Arizona Cardinals Week 16 Preview

By: advancedfootballstats.com | 2023-12-20

Introduction

The Arizona Cardinals faced off against the formidable San Francisco 49ers in Week 15, and while the scoreboard indicated a 29-45 loss, the underlying statistics tell a more nuanced story. As we gear up for Week 16, let’s dive into the numbers from last week and see how they stack up against our performance in the previous game. Spoiler alert: it’s a mixed bag! But fear not, Cardinals fans, as we explore the data, we’ll also preview our upcoming matchup against the Chicago Bears, who are looking to capitalize on our recent struggles.

Power Ranking

After our Week 15 showdown, the Cardinals find themselves ranked 15th in the power rankings with a win rate of 50.0% against a median opponent. This is a slight dip from our previous position, but it’s a reminder that we’re still in the middle of the pack. The power rankings are a reflection of our overall performance, and while we may not be in the top tier, we’re certainly not the worst. The challenge now is to build on this ranking and claw our way back up the ladder as we head into the final stretch of the season.

Overall Drive Efficiency

In terms of overall drive efficiency, we’ve slipped to 26th in the league. This is a stark contrast to the 20th place ranking we held just a week prior. With 436 yards gained against the 49ers, it’s clear that we can move the ball, but our inability to convert those drives into points has been our Achilles' heel. The efficiency metric highlights our struggles to sustain drives and finish strong in the red zone. If we want to turn our fortunes around, we need to find ways to maximize our yardage and convert those drives into touchdowns, not just field goals.

Defensive Drive Efficiency

Our defensive drive efficiency ranks at a disheartening 26th, which is unchanged from the previous week. This statistic underscores our challenges in stopping opposing offenses from moving the ball effectively. The 49ers managed to score 45 points, and our inability to halt their drives was evident. If we want to improve our standing, we need to tighten up our defense and become more effective at limiting opponents' yardage and points. The upcoming game against the Bears will be a critical test for our defense, as we need to show that we can rise to the occasion.

Offensive Drive Efficiency

On the offensive side, we currently sit at 20th in offensive drive efficiency, a slight improvement from last week. While we racked up 436 yards, we only managed to score 29 points, which indicates that while we can gain yardage, we struggle to finish drives effectively. The key to turning our offensive performance around lies in our ability to execute in the red zone. We must find ways to convert those long drives into points, especially in crucial moments of the game. Against the Bears, we’ll need to capitalize on every opportunity to score, as they will be looking to exploit our defensive weaknesses.

Defensive Turnover Efficiency

Our defensive turnover efficiency remains at 26th in the league, which is a troubling statistic that highlights our struggles to generate turnovers. The 49ers did not turn the ball over once during our last matchup, and that lack of defensive pressure has been a recurring theme this season. For the Cardinals to turn the tide, we need to create more opportunities for turnovers, whether through interceptions or fumbles. A strong defensive performance against the Bears could be the key to swinging the momentum back in our favor.

Offensive Turnover Efficiency

On the flip side, our offensive turnover efficiency is also ranked 26th, which is a concerning trend. With two turnovers against the 49ers, we’ve shown that maintaining possession is a challenge. The ability to protect the football is paramount, and we must prioritize ball security in our upcoming game. If we can limit turnovers, we’ll give ourselves a much better chance to compete and potentially secure a victory against the Bears.

Drive Time

Interestingly, we rank 5th in drive time, which suggests that when we do manage to move the ball, we take our sweet time doing it. While this can be a double-edged sword, a longer drive time can indicate a methodical approach to moving the ball downfield, allowing us to control the clock. However, we need to balance this with the urgency to score. Against the Bears, we’ll need to find that sweet spot between taking our time and being efficient in our scoring opportunities.

Preview For Next Week

As we look ahead to our Week 16 matchup against the Chicago Bears, we find ourselves in a position where we need to regroup and refocus. The Bears are favored by 4.5 points, and the simulations show that they have a 52.05% chance of winning. However, our ability to cover the spread at 59.9% indicates that we can keep it competitive. The over/under is set at 44.5 points, with a 55% chance of hitting the over. This matchup presents a critical opportunity for the Cardinals to showcase our offensive capabilities and tighten up our defensive strategies. If we can capitalize on our strengths and minimize our weaknesses, we could very well turn the tide in our favor.

Conclusion

In summary, the Cardinals have some work to do as we prepare for our upcoming game against the Bears. While our recent performance has been a mixed bag, it’s important to remember that every game is a new opportunity to improve. By addressing our efficiency on both sides of the ball and tightening up our turnover issues, we can set ourselves up for success. Let’s rally together, Cardinals fans, and hope for a strong showing in Week 16!

Stay tuned to advancedfootballstats.com for more data-driven insights and analysis as we continue to follow the Arizona Cardinals' journey throughout the 2023 NFL season.