Miami Dolphins Week 16 Preview

By: advancedfootballstats.com | 2023-12-20

Introduction

After a commanding 30-0 victory against the New York Jets in Week 15, the Miami Dolphins are riding high on a wave of momentum as they prepare for their Week 16 matchup. With a performance that showcased both offensive prowess and defensive tenacity, the Dolphins are looking to solidify their position in the playoff race. Let’s break down how the Dolphins fared in Week 15 and what we can expect as they gear up to face their next opponent.

Power Ranking

The Dolphins currently sit at a power ranking of 9, boasting a win rate of approximately 57%. While this places them in the upper half of the league, there’s certainly room for improvement. Given their recent performances, particularly the shutout against the Jets, the Dolphins have shown they can compete with the best. However, to truly make a mark in the playoffs, they’ll need to elevate their game further, especially against tougher opponents.

Overall Drive Efficiency

Miami continues to lead the league in overall drive efficiency, holding the top rank among all 32 teams. This is no small feat, especially considering the ups and downs of an NFL season. In Week 15, the Dolphins demonstrated their ability to move the ball effectively, accumulating 290 yards without a single turnover. This efficiency is crucial as it not only helps in scoring but also keeps the opposing offense off the field, a strategy that has paid dividends in their recent games.

Defensive Drive Efficiency

On the defensive side, the Dolphins rank 17th in defensive drive efficiency. While this places them in the middle of the pack, it’s worth noting that they managed to hold the Jets to a mere 103 yards in Week 15. The key here is consistency; if the Dolphins can tighten up their defensive schemes and continue to disrupt opposing offenses as they did against the Jets, they could quickly ascend the ranks in this category. A strong defense is often the backbone of playoff success, and the Dolphins will need to harness that energy moving forward.

Offensive Drive Efficiency

The Dolphins are not just efficient; they are downright lethal on offense, leading the league in offensive drive efficiency. This is a testament to their ability to score quickly and effectively. In Week 15, they showcased their offensive capabilities by executing drives that not only moved the chains but also resulted in points. As they prepare for Week 16, maintaining this level of offensive output will be crucial, especially as they face a Dallas Cowboys team that has shown they can score in bunches.

Defensive Turnover Efficiency

Ranking 12th in defensive turnover efficiency, the Dolphins have shown they can create opportunities for their offense by forcing turnovers. In Week 15, the Jets committed four turnovers, which was a significant factor in the Dolphins’ victory. If Miami can continue to apply pressure and capitalize on mistakes from their opponents, they could swing the momentum of games in their favor, especially against high-powered offenses.

Offensive Turnover Efficiency

However, the Dolphins find themselves ranked 22nd in offensive turnover efficiency, which is a bit concerning. While they managed to avoid turnovers against the Jets, they must remain vigilant. As they head into a matchup against the Cowboys, who are known for their opportunistic defense, Miami will need to protect the football and make smart decisions. A couple of turnovers could quickly turn the tide against them, especially in a high-stakes game.

Drive Time

With a drive time ranking of 2, the Dolphins excel at moving down the field efficiently. This means they can score quickly when needed, but they also have the ability to take time off the clock when they want to maintain possession. This dual threat can be particularly advantageous in close games, allowing the Dolphins to control the tempo and dictate the pace of play. As they face the Cowboys, this ability to manage drive time will be crucial in keeping their defense fresh and their offense productive.

Preview For Next Week

Looking ahead to Week 16, the Dolphins will face off against the Dallas Cowboys, who are currently favored by 1.5 points. The over/under is set at 51.5 points, indicating that oddsmakers expect a high-scoring affair. The simulations from advancedfootballstats.com suggest that the Cowboys have a slight edge, with a predicted win probability of 56.95%. However, given the Dolphins’ recent form and their offensive efficiency, this matchup could go either way. Miami will need to leverage their top-ranked offense and tighten up their defensive play to secure a crucial victory as they push for the playoffs.

Conclusion

As the Dolphins prepare for their Week 16 clash with the Cowboys, they are in a prime position to make a statement. With a strong offensive showing and a defense that has the potential to disrupt, Miami has the tools to compete at the highest level. It’s all about execution now. If they can maintain their drive efficiency and minimize turnovers, the Dolphins could very well come out on top and continue their march toward the playoffs.

Stay tuned to advancedfootballstats.com for more data-driven insights and analysis as we continue to follow the Miami Dolphins' journey throughout the 2023 NFL season.