Atlanta Falcons Week 17 Preview

By: advancedfootballstats.com | 2023-12-27

Introduction

The Atlanta Falcons have been on quite the rollercoaster ride this season, and Week 17 is no exception. Coming off a decisive victory against the Indianapolis Colts in Week 16, where they showcased their defensive prowess and offensive potential, the Falcons are gearing up for another crucial matchup. With the playoffs looming, every game counts, and the Falcons are determined to keep their momentum rolling. Let’s dive into the stats from last week and see how they stack up as we look ahead to this week’s game.

Power Ranking

After their commanding win against the Colts, the Falcons have climbed to a power ranking of 10, boasting a win rate of 55%. While this places them firmly in the upper half of the league, it’s a reminder that there’s still room for improvement. The Falcons need to harness this momentum and aim for consistency as they prepare to face their next opponent. A power ranking of 10 is respectable, but it’s also a call to action for the team to push into the top tier of the league as they strive for playoff positioning.

Overall Drive Efficiency

The Falcons’ overall drive efficiency sits at a solid 10th in the league, reflecting their ability to sustain drives and put points on the board. However, there’s a stark contrast in their offensive and defensive capabilities. While the defense is ranked 5th in drive efficiency, the offense lags behind at 20th. This discrepancy suggests that while the defense is doing a fantastic job of stifling opposing offenses, the Falcons’ offensive unit needs to find its rhythm to capitalize on their defensive successes. The goal for Week 17 will be to bridge this gap and create a more balanced attack.

Defensive Drive Efficiency

The Falcons’ defense has been nothing short of stellar, ranking 5th in defensive drive efficiency. This means they are exceptionally good at preventing opponents from advancing down the field. In Week 16, they limited the Colts to just 262 yards and forced them into mistakes, which is a testament to their effectiveness. As they head into Week 17, maintaining this level of defensive performance will be crucial, especially against an opponent that might look to exploit any weaknesses. If the Falcons can continue to pressure the opposing offense and force them into unfavorable situations, they’ll put themselves in a great position to win.

Offensive Drive Efficiency

On the flip side, the Falcons’ offensive drive efficiency ranks 20th in the league, indicating that there’s significant room for improvement. While they managed to score 29 points against the Colts, the offense often struggled to find consistency throughout the game. With 406 total yards, it’s clear they have the potential to move the ball, but they need to convert those drives into touchdowns rather than field goals. Week 17 presents an opportunity for the offense to step up, find their groove, and complement the defense’s efforts. A more efficient offense will not only help in scoring but also keep the defense fresh and ready to handle opposing offenses.

Defensive Turnover Efficiency

The Falcons currently rank 22nd in defensive turnover efficiency, which is a bit concerning considering their strong drive efficiency. Generating turnovers is crucial in the NFL, as it can completely change the momentum of a game. While they’ve shown flashes of brilliance, they need to be more opportunistic in creating turnovers. If they can improve in this area, it will not only bolster their chances of winning but also provide the offense with more opportunities to capitalize on mistakes made by their opponents. In Week 17, the Falcons will need to be vigilant and ready to pounce on any mistakes made by their adversaries.

Offensive Turnover Efficiency

The Falcons’ offensive turnover efficiency also sits at a less-than-ideal 20th in the league. This means they’ve been prone to mistakes, which can be detrimental, especially in close games. In their last matchup, they managed to avoid turnovers, which was a key factor in their victory. As they prepare for Week 17, the Falcons must prioritize ball security and ensure that they are making smart decisions with the football. A clean game with no turnovers could be the difference between a win and a loss, especially as they face off against a team that could capitalize on any mistakes.

Drive Time

The Falcons’ drive time ranks 20th in the league, indicating that they take a moderate amount of time to move down the field. This can be a double-edged sword: while it’s beneficial to control the clock and maintain possession, it can also lead to missed opportunities to score quickly. In Week 16, their ability to sustain drives helped keep the Colts’ offense off the field, but they need to find a balance. As they head into Week 17, the Falcons should aim to be more efficient in their drive time, maximizing yardage while minimizing the time taken. This will not only keep the defense rested but also put pressure on their opponents.

Preview For Next Week

In Week 17, the Falcons are set to face the Chicago Bears, who are currently favored by 2.5 points. The over/under for the game is set at 37.5 points, indicating a potentially low-scoring affair. However, advancedfootballstats.com simulations predict that the Falcons have a 55.5% chance of winning this matchup, with a strong likelihood of covering the spread (59.35%). The Bears, while competitive, have shown inconsistencies throughout the season, and if the Falcons can leverage their strong defensive performance and improve their offensive efficiency, they could very well come out on top. The key will be to capitalize on any mistakes made by the Bears and to convert drives into points.

Conclusion

As the Falcons head into Week 17, they are in a prime position to solidify their playoff hopes. With a strong defensive showing and an offense that has the potential to explode, the stage is set for an exciting matchup against the Bears. The key will be to maintain their defensive efficiency while finding ways to improve their offensive output. If they can do that, the Falcons could be flying high into the postseason. Let’s keep our fingers crossed for a fantastic performance!

Stay tuned to advancedfootballstats.com for more data-driven insights and analysis as we continue to follow the Atlanta Falcons' journey throughout the 2023 NFL season.