Houston Texans Week 17 Preview

By: advancedfootballstats.com | 2023-12-27

Introduction

As we wrap up Week 16 of the 2023 NFL season, the Houston Texans find themselves reflecting on a tough loss against the Cleveland Browns, where they were outgained in total yardage and struggled to maintain possession. With the playoffs looming and only one game left in the regular season, it’s crucial for the Texans to analyze their performance metrics and make necessary adjustments. In this blog post, we’ll dive into the Texans' statistics from Week 16, compare them to the previous week, and preview their upcoming matchup against the Tennessee Titans in Week 17.

Power Ranking

The Texans currently sit at a power ranking of 17, with a win rate against a median opponent of 49.0%. This places them in the bottom half of the league, which is a stark reminder that consistency has been a struggle for this team. While they have shown flashes of potential, their inability to convert that into victories has left them on the outside looking in when it comes to playoff contention. The Texans need to harness their strengths and improve their weaknesses if they hope to climb higher in the rankings and make a late-season push.

Overall Drive Efficiency

In terms of overall drive efficiency, the Texans rank 20th in the league. This is a slight dip from their previous week’s performance, where they struggled to sustain drives and ultimately put points on the board. With only 250 yards gained against the Browns, it’s clear that the offense needs to find a rhythm. The Texans have the potential to be more efficient, but they must focus on executing plays and avoiding turnovers, which have plagued them throughout the season.

Defensive Drive Efficiency

The Texans' defensive drive efficiency ranks at 20th as well, indicating that their defense has been unable to consistently stop opposing offenses from moving down the field. After allowing 418 yards to the Browns, it’s evident that there are gaps in the defense that need to be addressed. The Texans must tighten their coverage and improve their tackling to prevent big plays and keep opponents from scoring at will. As they prepare for the Titans, the defense must step up and create a more formidable barrier.

Offensive Drive Efficiency

On the offensive side, the Texans rank 19th in drive efficiency. This ranking reflects their struggles to convert drives into points, as evidenced by their inability to keep pace with the Browns. The Texans must find ways to be more productive on offense, especially in critical situations. Whether it’s through better play-calling or improved execution from the players, the offense needs to rise to the occasion in their final game of the season.

Defensive Turnover Efficiency

When it comes to defensive turnover efficiency, the Texans find themselves ranked 25th, which is a concerning statistic. They’ve struggled to generate turnovers, and with the Titans coming to town, they need to find a way to flip the script. The ability to create turnovers can change the momentum of a game, and the Texans must capitalize on any opportunities they get to take the ball away from their opponents.

Offensive Turnover Efficiency

On a slightly more positive note, the Texans rank 6th in offensive turnover efficiency, which means they’ve managed to protect the ball better than most teams. However, this stat can be a double-edged sword; while it’s great that they’re not giving the ball away, they still need to find ways to score. The balance between protecting the ball and being aggressive on offense is crucial for the Texans as they head into their matchup against the Titans.

Drive Time

The Texans rank 5th in drive time, which indicates they take their sweet time moving down the field. While this can be beneficial in controlling the clock and maintaining possession, it can also lead to missed opportunities if drives stall. The Texans need to find a balance between being methodical and being efficient. Quick strikes can be just as effective as long, drawn-out drives, especially when facing a Titans team that can score quickly.

Preview For Next Week

Looking ahead to Week 17, the Texans will face off against the Tennessee Titans, who are currently favored by 4.5 points. The over/under for the game is set at 43.5 points, indicating that oddsmakers expect a competitive matchup. The simulations from advancedfootballstats.com predict that the Texans will score around 13 points while the Titans are projected to score 27 points, giving the Texans only a 45% chance of victory. This game is critical for the Texans to end the season on a high note and build momentum heading into the offseason. They must improve their overall efficiency on both sides of the ball and avoid the mistakes that have hindered them throughout the season.

Conclusion

As the Texans prepare for their final game of the season, it’s clear that there is much work to be done. While they have shown flashes of brilliance, consistency has been their Achilles' heel. With the right adjustments and a focused mindset, they can finish strong against the Titans. The future is bright for the Texans, and fans can look forward to a renewed sense of hope as they head into the offseason.

Stay tuned to advancedfootballstats.com for more data-driven insights and analysis as we continue to follow the Houston Texans' journey throughout the 2023 NFL season.