Las Vegas Raiders Week 17 Preview

By: advancedfootballstats.com | 2023-12-27

Introduction

The Las Vegas Raiders pulled off a stunning upset in Week 16, defeating the Kansas City Chiefs 20-14, despite being 10-point underdogs. This victory has sparked a renewed sense of hope and excitement among Raider Nation as we head into Week 17. Let’s dive into the stats from last week and see how they stack up against our performance in Week 16, as well as what to expect in our upcoming matchup against the Indianapolis Colts.

Power Ranking

Following the victory over the Chiefs, the Raiders’ power ranking sits at a disheartening 26th, with a win rate against a median opponent of just 41.0%. While this may seem like a grim statistic, it’s worth noting that the Raiders have shown resilience and determination, especially in high-pressure situations. The power ranking reflects a team still finding its footing, but recent performances suggest we might be on the verge of turning the tide.

Overall Drive Efficiency

The Raiders currently rank 22nd in overall drive efficiency, which is a slight improvement from last week’s performance. While we managed to score 20 points against a formidable Chiefs defense, our overall drive efficiency still leaves much to be desired. The key takeaway here is that while we can capitalize on turnovers, we need to enhance our ability to sustain drives and convert opportunities into points. Every yard counts, and we must strive to improve our efficiency as we head into the final stretch of the season.

Defensive Drive Efficiency

On the defensive side, the Raiders have been surprisingly effective, ranking 13th in defensive drive efficiency. This is a significant achievement considering the challenges we have faced throughout the season. Our ability to stifle opposing offenses and limit their yardage has been a key factor in our recent success. Against the Chiefs, our defense held strong, forcing turnovers and making crucial stops. This resilience will be essential as we prepare to face the Colts, who have shown they can put points on the board quickly.

Offensive Drive Efficiency

Unfortunately, our offensive drive efficiency has been less than stellar, currently ranking 25th in the league. While we managed to score enough to secure a win last week, we need to find ways to improve our offensive output. The Colts will be a tough opponent, and we cannot afford to be stagnant on offense. We must work on our execution and make the most of our opportunities. With our offensive line showing some signs of improvement, we hope to see more sustained drives and scoring chances in the upcoming game.

Defensive Turnover Efficiency

The Raiders rank 21st in defensive turnover efficiency, which is a bit of a mixed bag. While we managed to create turnovers against the Chiefs, our overall ability to generate them has been inconsistent. However, the fact that we forced two turnovers last week shows that we can be opportunistic when it matters most. If we can continue to capitalize on our opponents’ mistakes, it will give us a fighting chance against the Colts, who are known for their offensive prowess.

Offensive Turnover Efficiency

Our offensive turnover efficiency is currently ranked 27th, which is concerning. The fact that we did not turn the ball over against the Chiefs was a welcome change, but we need to ensure that we maintain this trend. Protecting the football is paramount, especially against a Colts team that can capitalize on mistakes. We need to be disciplined and smart with our play-calling to minimize risks and maximize our chances of success.

Drive Time

The Raiders rank 23rd in drive time, indicating that we tend to take longer to move down the field. While this can be beneficial in terms of controlling the clock, it can also lead to missed opportunities if we are unable to convert drives into points. As we prepare for the Colts, we need to find a balance between maintaining possession and being efficient in our offensive execution. Quick, decisive plays could be the key to keeping the Colts’ defense on their heels.

Preview For Next Week

Looking ahead to Week 17, the Raiders will face the Indianapolis Colts, who are favored by 3.5 points. The simulations from advancedfootballstats.com predict a common final score of 24-17 in favor of the Colts, with a 53.0% chance of them winning. However, there’s a silver lining: the Raiders are expected to cover the spread 54.35% of the time, which means we have a fighting chance to keep it close. With an over/under of 42.5 points, it’s likely to be a competitive matchup. The key will be for our defense to continue its strong performance while the offense finds its rhythm and capitalizes on scoring opportunities.

Conclusion

The Raiders have shown glimpses of potential in recent weeks, and the victory over the Chiefs has provided a much-needed boost in confidence. As we head into Week 17 against the Colts, we must focus on improving our efficiency on both sides of the ball. With the right adjustments and a determined mindset, we can make a statement and finish the season strong. Let’s rally behind our team and show the league what Raider Nation is all about!

Stay tuned to advancedfootballstats.com for more data-driven insights and analysis as we continue to follow the Las Vegas Raiders' journey throughout the 2023 NFL season.