Los Angeles Chargers Week 17 Preview

By: advancedfootballstats.com | 2023-12-27

Introduction

As we dive into Week 17 of the 2023 NFL season, the Los Angeles Chargers find themselves in a familiar yet frustrating position. After a narrow loss to the Buffalo Bills in Week 16, where they fell 22-24 despite a solid offensive performance, the Chargers are looking to turn things around and secure a much-needed victory. With the playoffs looming, every game counts, and the Chargers are determined to showcase their strengths while addressing their weaknesses. Let’s break down the stats from last week and see how they stack up as we prepare for the upcoming matchup.

Power Ranking

Currently sitting at 14th in the power rankings with a win rate of 50.0% against a median opponent, the Chargers are in the bottom half of the league. This ranking highlights the inconsistency that has plagued the team throughout the season. While they have shown flashes of brilliance, particularly on offense, their inability to close out games has kept them from rising higher in the rankings. The Chargers need to harness their offensive efficiency and improve their defensive play to climb back into the playoff conversation.

Overall Drive Efficiency

The Chargers rank 21st in overall drive efficiency, which is a bit of a mixed bag. While their offensive drive efficiency is commendable at 10th in the league, their defensive drive efficiency tells a different story, ranking a dismal 30th. This discrepancy indicates that while the offense can effectively move the ball and score, the defense struggles to prevent opposing teams from doing the same. The Chargers need to find a way to balance these two aspects if they hope to compete effectively in the final stretch of the season.

Defensive Drive Efficiency

With a ranking of 30th in defensive drive efficiency, it’s clear that the Chargers have some serious work to do on that side of the ball. Last week against the Bills, they allowed 335 yards and three turnovers, yet still managed to lose the game. This paradox highlights the need for the Chargers to tighten up their defense and stop giving up big plays. It’s not just about stopping the offense; it’s about making crucial stops when it counts. If they can improve their defensive efficiency, it could be the key to turning close games into wins.

Offensive Drive Efficiency

On the flip side, the Chargers’ offensive drive efficiency is something to celebrate, ranking 10th overall. With 273 yards against the Bills and no turnovers, the offense has shown it can move the ball effectively. However, the challenge lies in converting those drives into points consistently. The Chargers need to capitalize on their offensive strengths and ensure they finish drives with touchdowns rather than field goals. This will be crucial as they face tougher opponents in the coming weeks.

Defensive Turnover Efficiency

The Chargers rank 24th in defensive turnover efficiency, which is a concern for a team that needs to create more opportunities for their offense. Generating turnovers can swing the momentum of a game and provide the offense with short fields to work with. With the defense struggling to force turnovers, the Chargers are missing out on critical chances to capitalize on their opponents’ mistakes. Improving this statistic could be a game-changer for the team as they push for a playoff spot.

Offensive Turnover Efficiency

The Chargers also find themselves at 24th in offensive turnover efficiency, which is a bit of a head-scratcher considering their offensive prowess. While they managed to avoid turnovers against the Bills, the season has seen its fair share of costly mistakes. Protecting the ball is essential, especially in close games where every possession counts. If the Chargers can limit their turnovers, they will not only improve their chances of winning but also build confidence heading into the playoffs.

Drive Time

Ranking 2nd in drive time, the Chargers have mastered the art of taking their sweet time while moving down the field. While this can be beneficial for controlling the clock and maintaining possession, it can also lead to missed opportunities if they don’t score quickly enough. Striking a balance between being methodical and being aggressive will be key for the Chargers as they look to maximize their offensive potential in the final games of the season.

Preview For Next Week

As the Chargers prepare to face the Denver Broncos in Week 17, they are looking to capitalize on their slight edge in the simulations, which predict a 53.0% chance of victory for Los Angeles. The Broncos, favored by 3.5 points, will be no easy task, but the Chargers have the offensive capability to put up points against a struggling Denver defense. With the over/under set at 36.5 points, expect a high-scoring affair as both teams look to make their mark. The Chargers will need to focus on improving their defensive efficiency while maintaining their offensive momentum to secure a crucial win.

Conclusion

The Los Angeles Chargers have a lot to prove as they head into Week 17. With a mix of strong offensive stats and glaring defensive weaknesses, the team must find a way to put it all together. The playoffs are within reach, but it will take a concerted effort from both the offense and defense to secure a victory against the Broncos. Fans can only hope that the Chargers will rise to the occasion and deliver a performance that reflects their potential.

Stay tuned to advancedfootballstats.com for more data-driven insights and analysis as we continue to follow the Los Angeles Chargers' journey throughout the 2023 NFL season.