Miami Dolphins Week 18 Preview

By: advancedfootballstats.com | 2024-01-03

Introduction

As we dive into Week 18 of the 2023 NFL season, the Miami Dolphins are riding the wave of a rollercoaster ride that was Week 17. With a rather unfortunate loss to the Baltimore Ravens, where the scoreboard read 19 to 56, the Dolphins are looking to regroup and refocus as they prepare for their next matchup. While the final score may sting, our advanced stats tell a different story, one filled with potential and promise. Let’s break down how our performance stacks up against last week and what we can expect as we gear up for our next challenge.

Power Ranking

Currently, the Dolphins sit at a respectable power ranking of 3, boasting a win rate of 68.0% against a median opponent. While this is a solid position, it’s clear that last week's performance against the Ravens has raised some eyebrows. A loss like that can shake the confidence of any team, but we must remember that power rankings are a reflection of our overall body of work throughout the season. It’s time to channel that energy into our upcoming game and show the league that we are still a force to be reckoned with.

Overall Drive Efficiency

The Dolphins have been exceptional in overall drive efficiency, ranking 1st in the league. This means that, despite our recent hiccup, we have consistently moved the ball effectively down the field throughout the season. In Week 17, we gained 375 yards, which is a testament to our offensive capabilities. However, the three turnovers we committed were detrimental to our overall efficiency and ultimately cost us the game. If we can maintain our drive efficiency while minimizing turnovers, we’ll be well on our way to bouncing back.

Defensive Drive Efficiency

Our defensive drive efficiency ranking sits at 16th, which is right in the middle of the pack. While this isn’t terrible, it’s clear that we have room for improvement. The Ravens were able to rack up 491 yards against us, exposing some vulnerabilities in our defensive scheme. We need to tighten up our coverage and improve our ability to stop opposing offenses from marching down the field. A solid defensive performance will be crucial as we head into the next game.

Offensive Drive Efficiency

On the offensive side of the ball, we are absolutely crushing it with a rank of 1st in offensive drive efficiency. This means we have been able to convert drives into points with remarkable effectiveness. However, the three turnovers in Week 17 were a stark reminder that efficiency isn’t just about moving the ball; it’s about protecting it too. If we can keep our offensive momentum while being more disciplined with the football, we can expect to see some positive results in the coming weeks.

Defensive Turnover Efficiency

Our defensive turnover efficiency is currently ranked 8th, indicating that we have a knack for creating turnovers when the opportunity arises. However, against the Ravens, we failed to capitalize on any of those opportunities, which allowed them to maintain control of the game. If we want to turn the tide in our favor, generating turnovers will be key. We need to be aggressive and opportunistic to give our offense extra chances to score.

Offensive Turnover Efficiency

Unfortunately, our offensive turnover efficiency is ranked 17th, which is a bit concerning. With three turnovers in Week 17, we fell into the trap of giving the ball away at critical moments. We must prioritize ball security and make smarter decisions with the football. If we can improve this stat, it will significantly enhance our chances of success in Week 18 and beyond.

Drive Time

The Dolphins lead the league in drive time, which can be a double-edged sword. While taking time off the clock can be beneficial, it also means we need to be efficient with our opportunities. Our ability to move the ball quickly down the field has been a hallmark of our success, but we must balance that with the need to score efficiently. If we can find that sweet spot, we’ll be able to control the game and keep our opponents on their heels.

Preview For Next Week

Looking ahead to Week 18, the Dolphins are set to face off against the Buffalo Bills, who are favored by 3 points. The simulations predict a close matchup, with the Dolphins having a 54.3% chance of winning. This game will be crucial for both teams as they look to solidify their playoff positioning. The over/under is set at 49.5 points, indicating that both offenses are expected to put up some numbers. If we can harness our offensive drive efficiency and tighten up our defense, we have a solid shot at coming out on top.

Conclusion

In conclusion, while Week 17 was a setback, it’s important to remember the strengths that have propelled the Dolphins to the top of the league in several key categories. With the right adjustments and a renewed focus on ball security, we can turn this ship around and make a strong push in our upcoming game against the Bills. Let’s show the league that we are still a playoff contender and ready to make some noise in the postseason!

Stay tuned to advancedfootballstats.com for more data-driven insights and analysis as we continue to follow the Miami Dolphins' journey throughout the 2023 NFL season.