Buffalo Bills Divisional Round Week Preview

By: advancedfootballstats.com | 2024-01-17

Introduction

The Buffalo Bills have officially advanced to the Divisional Round of the 2023 NFL playoffs after a decisive victory over the Pittsburgh Steelers in the Wild Card Week. With a final score of 31-17, the Bills showcased their offensive prowess while also demonstrating their ability to capitalize on their opponents' mistakes. As we gear up for the next challenge, let’s take a closer look at how the Bills fared in the Wild Card matchup and what we can expect in the upcoming Divisional Round.

Power Ranking

Following the Wild Card Week, the Buffalo Bills sit at a power ranking of 8, boasting a win rate of approximately 57%. While this places them firmly in the upper half of the league, it’s a reminder that there’s always room for improvement. The Bills will need to elevate their game even further as they face tougher competition in the Divisional Round. The key takeaway? The Bills are good, but they need to be great to keep their playoff dreams alive.

Overall Drive Efficiency

The Bills' overall drive efficiency ranked 8th in the league during the Wild Card Week, reflecting their ability to move the ball effectively down the field. With 368 total yards and zero turnovers, this efficiency is a testament to their offensive coordination and execution. However, as they prepare for the Divisional Round, they must maintain this rhythm while also looking to improve their defensive drive efficiency, which currently sits at a less-than-stellar 23rd. If they can strike a balance between offensive prowess and defensive resilience, they’ll be a tough team to beat.

Defensive Drive Efficiency

Speaking of defensive drive efficiency, the Bills find themselves ranked 23rd in this category. While they managed to limit the Steelers to 324 yards, they still need to tighten up their defense against the more potent offenses they’ll face in the playoffs. The Bills must focus on preventing big plays and forcing their opponents into unfavorable situations. If they can improve on this front, they’ll not only enhance their chances of winning but also keep their offense on the field longer.

Offensive Drive Efficiency

On the bright side, the Bills excelled in offensive drive efficiency, ranking 5th in the league. This is a significant improvement from previous seasons and showcases the growth of their offensive unit. With a mix of explosive plays and methodical drives, the Bills have proven they can score from anywhere on the field. As they head into the Divisional Round, maintaining this efficiency will be crucial, especially against a formidable opponent like the Kansas City Chiefs.

Defensive Turnover Efficiency

The Bills' defensive turnover efficiency ranked 13th, which is a solid but not spectacular figure. Generating turnovers can be a game-changer in the playoffs, and the Bills will need to capitalize on any mistakes made by their opponents. Against the Steelers, they managed to force two turnovers, which played a pivotal role in their victory. If they can continue this trend and create more opportunities for their offense, they’ll be well-positioned for success in the Divisional Round.

Offensive Turnover Efficiency

The Bills ranked 12th in offensive turnover efficiency, which is commendable, especially considering they had zero turnovers against the Steelers. Protecting the football is paramount in the playoffs, and the Bills have done a great job of maintaining possession. As they prepare to face the Chiefs, they’ll need to continue this trend and avoid costly mistakes that could swing the momentum in favor of their opponents.

Drive Time

The Bills ranked 25th in drive time, indicating that they tend to take longer to score than some of their peers. This can be a double-edged sword; while it allows for methodical drives, it can also mean less time for their defense to rest. As they advance in the playoffs, finding the right balance between quick strikes and sustained drives will be essential. A quicker drive time could keep the opposing defense on its heels, allowing the Bills to exploit matchups and create scoring opportunities.

Preview For Next Week

Looking ahead to the Divisional Round, the Bills will face the Kansas City Chiefs, a team that has proven to be a formidable opponent in recent years. The simulations from advancedfootballstats.com predict a close contest, with the Chiefs favored to win 56.25% of the time. The Bills will need to bring their A-game, particularly in terms of drive efficiency and turnover creation. If they can exploit the Chiefs’ defensive weaknesses while tightening their own defense, they have a solid chance of advancing to the next round. The over/under is set at 45.5 points, suggesting that both offenses are expected to put on a show. Expect fireworks!

Conclusion

The Buffalo Bills have shown they are a force to be reckoned with in the playoffs, but the road ahead is fraught with challenges. With a blend of strong offensive drive efficiency and the need for improvement on the defensive side, they have the tools to compete at the highest level. As they prepare for the Divisional Round, the Bills must focus on execution, discipline, and capitalizing on every opportunity. The fans are ready, the team is prepared, and it’s time to show the world what Buffalo football is all about!

Stay tuned to advancedfootballstats.com for more data-driven insights and analysis as we continue to follow the Buffalo Bills' journey throughout the 2023 NFL season.