Denver Broncos Week 10 Preview

By: advancedfootballstats.com | 2024-11-05

Introduction

The Denver Broncos faced a tough challenge in Week 9, suffering a significant loss to the Baltimore Ravens. The final score of 10 to 41 left fans scratching their heads and wondering what went wrong. However, as we dive into the stats from Week 10, we can see some glimmers of hope amidst the turmoil. With a matchup against the Kansas City Chiefs on the horizon, it's time to analyze where the Broncos stand and what they need to do to turn the tide.

Power Ranking

After Week 9, the Broncos found themselves ranked 18th in the power rankings with a win rate of 53.6% against a median opponent. Fast forward to Week 10, and they’ve managed to climb slightly to 17th with a win rate of 53.2%. While this may not seem like a monumental leap, it’s a reminder that every little bit counts in the NFL. The Broncos are still firmly in the bottom half of the league, but the slight improvement reflects a team that’s working hard to find its footing. They’ll need to channel this upward momentum as they prepare for a formidable opponent in the Chiefs.

Overall Drive Efficiency

The Broncos' overall drive efficiency has been a mixed bag this season. In Week 9, they ranked 7th in overall drive efficiency, a feat that is commendable but also raises questions about their ability to capitalize on those drives. In Week 10, they slipped slightly to 11th, indicating that while they can move the ball, they need to convert those drives into points more consistently. The ability to sustain drives and finish in the red zone will be crucial against the Chiefs, who are known for their explosive offense.

Defensive Drive Efficiency

On the defensive side of the ball, the Broncos have been a pleasant surprise, ranking 7th in defensive drive efficiency through both Weeks 9 and 10. This consistency suggests that the defense is doing a commendable job at stifling opposing offenses and preventing them from marching down the field. However, against a high-octane team like the Chiefs, the Broncos will need to elevate their game even further. They must find ways to apply pressure and force mistakes, as allowing Kansas City to find their rhythm could spell disaster.

Offensive Drive Efficiency

The Broncos' offensive drive efficiency tells a story of potential that has yet to be fully realized. After ranking 7th in Week 9, they fell to 11th in Week 10. This drop suggests that while they can generate yardage, they may struggle with execution when it matters most. The key for Denver will be to find a way to translate their yardage into touchdowns, especially in a game where they’ll need to keep pace with the Chiefs' scoring ability. It’s time for the offense to step up and prove they can finish drives effectively.

Defensive Turnover Efficiency

Turnovers can change the course of a game, and the Broncos' defense has shown a knack for generating them. While specific turnover efficiency stats were not highlighted in our previous analysis, the Broncos have consistently ranked well in this category. They’ll need to maintain this trend against the Chiefs, who have the potential to make mistakes if pressured correctly. If Denver can create turnovers, they may just swing the momentum in their favor.

Offensive Turnover Efficiency

Unfortunately, the same cannot be said for the Broncos' offensive turnover efficiency. After committing one turnover against the Ravens, it’s clear that protecting the football is paramount for Denver. They must prioritize ball security as they head into Week 10. The Chiefs are known for capitalizing on mistakes, and any turnovers could be detrimental to the Broncos’ chances of success. The team must focus on clean execution and smart decision-making to keep the ball out of Kansas City's hands.

Drive Time

The Broncos have ranked 8th in drive time through both Weeks 9 and 10, indicating a balanced approach to moving the ball down the field. A lower drive time suggests that they can efficiently gain yards, which is a positive sign. However, they must also be mindful of clock management, especially against a potent offense like the Chiefs. Striking the right balance between quick drives and maintaining possession will be key to their strategy.

Preview For Next Week

As the Broncos prepare to face the Kansas City Chiefs, they do so as 9.5-point underdogs. The simulations from advancedfootballstats.com predict a final score of 23 to 19 in favor of the Chiefs, with Denver covering the spread 64.95% of the time. This matchup promises to be an exciting one, as the Broncos will need to bring their A-game to compete against a team that has been a perennial powerhouse in the league. The key will be for the Broncos to leverage their defensive strengths while finding ways to exploit the Chiefs' weaknesses. If they can create turnovers and finish drives, they might just pull off an upset.

Conclusion

In conclusion, while the Broncos have faced their fair share of challenges this season, the data suggests that there are areas for improvement and potential for growth. The upcoming game against the Chiefs will be a true test of their mettle, and fans will be eagerly watching to see if the team can rise to the occasion. With a little luck and a lot of hard work, the Broncos could turn their season around and make a statement in the AFC West.

Stay tuned to advancedfootballstats.com for more data-driven insights and analysis as we continue to follow the Denver Broncos' journey throughout the 2024 NFL season.