Washington Commanders Week 11 Preview

By: advancedfootballstats.com | 2024-11-12

Introduction

After a nail-biting loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 10, the Washington Commanders are back on the field and ready to tackle the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 11. The Commanders put up a valiant effort, but ultimately fell short, losing 27-28. As we dive into the numbers, we’ll take a closer look at how the team performed in Week 10 compared to their Week 11 stats, and what that means for their upcoming matchup against the Eagles. Spoiler alert: it’s a mixed bag of good, bad, and downright interesting!

Power Ranking

The Commanders have seen a slight shift in their power ranking, moving from 3rd in Week 10 to 6th in Week 11. With a win rate against a median opponent hovering around 67.2%, it’s clear that the Commanders are still in the conversation among the league’s elite. However, this drop indicates that while they are still competitive, they need to tighten up their performance to maintain their standing. The Eagles, on the other hand, are looking to capitalize on this opportunity as they come in favored by 3.5 points.

Overall Drive Efficiency

When it comes to overall drive efficiency, the Commanders have not been lighting the world on fire. Ranked 29th in the league, they’ve struggled to consistently move the ball down the field. In Week 10, they managed only 242 yards and had one turnover, which is not exactly the recipe for success. As they prepare for the Eagles, who are sitting at a much more respectable 9th in offensive drive efficiency, the Commanders will need to find a way to be more effective on their drives if they want to keep pace.

Defensive Drive Efficiency

The Commanders’ defense has been a bit of a rollercoaster this season, currently ranked 27th in defensive drive efficiency. This means they’ve had a tough time stopping opposing offenses from marching down the field. In Week 10, they allowed the Steelers to rack up 312 yards and two turnovers, which is a bit of a mixed bag. While forcing turnovers is great, they need to focus on tightening up their coverage and limiting yardage to have a better chance against the Eagles, who have a knack for exploiting defensive weaknesses.

Offensive Drive Efficiency

As previously mentioned, the Commanders ranked 29th in offensive drive efficiency, which is a glaring issue. Their inability to sustain drives and convert opportunities has been a recurring theme. With a mere 242 yards in Week 10, they’ll need to channel their inner offensive juggernaut against the Eagles. If they can’t find a way to improve their efficiency, it could be a long day on the field, especially against a team that can score quickly.

Defensive Turnover Efficiency

On the bright side, the Commanders have shown some promise in generating turnovers. While their defensive turnover efficiency isn’t stellar, they’ve managed to create some opportunities for their offense. However, with a ranking of 26th in this category, they need to step it up. Against the Eagles, who are known for their ball security, the Commanders will need to be opportunistic and capitalize on any mistakes.

Offensive Turnover Efficiency

The Commanders’ offensive turnover efficiency has been a thorn in their side, as they ranked 29th in this category as well. With one turnover in Week 10, they need to focus on ball security moving forward. The Eagles will be looking to capitalize on any mistakes, so the Commanders must ensure they protect the ball and limit their turnovers if they want a shot at victory.

Drive Time

Interestingly, the Commanders rank 11th in drive time, meaning they take an average amount of time to move the ball down the field. This can be a double-edged sword; while it’s great for controlling the clock, it can also mean that they’re not scoring quickly enough. As they face the Eagles, who rank 22nd in drive time, the Commanders will need to find a balance between maintaining possession and putting points on the board.

Preview For Next Week

Looking ahead to Week 11, the Commanders will face off against the Philadelphia Eagles, who are coming in as 3.5-point favorites. The simulations from advancedfootballstats.com predict a close matchup, with the Eagles expected to score 27 points and the Commanders 24. With a 54.35% win probability for the Eagles, the Commanders will need to bring their A-game to cover the spread and potentially pull off the upset. The over/under is set at 48.5 points, suggesting a high-scoring affair, which could play into the Commanders' hands if they can find their offensive rhythm.

Conclusion

In summary, the Washington Commanders have some serious work to do as they prepare for their Week 11 matchup against the Philadelphia Eagles. With their overall drive efficiency lagging behind, they must focus on tightening up both their offensive and defensive strategies. If they can improve their efficiency, protect the ball, and capitalize on any opportunities, they might just surprise us all. Keep your fingers crossed, Commanders fans, and let’s hope for a thrilling game!

Stay tuned to advancedfootballstats.com for more data-driven insights and analysis as we continue to follow the Washington Commanders' journey throughout the 2024 NFL season.