Frequently Asked Questions
Everything you need to know about Advanced Football Stats and our NFL analytics platform.
General
- What is Advanced Football Stats?
- Advanced Football Stats is a comprehensive NFL analytics platform that provides predictive modeling, game statistics, drive analysis, and in-depth football insights using machine learning and Bayesian statistics.
- Is Advanced Football Stats free to use?
- Yes! Creating an account is completely free. Members get access to game predictions, betting analytics, win probabilities, and an ad-free experience.
- How often is the data updated?
- Game data and statistics are updated after each week's games conclude. Team rankings and predictive models are recalculated weekly to incorporate the latest results.
- What NFL seasons do you have data for?
- Our database includes comprehensive NFL data going back multiple seasons, allowing for historical analysis and trend identification.
Predictions & Analytics
- How are the game predictions calculated?
- Our predictions use Bayesian survival analysis models that consider field position, team strength, game situation, and historical performance. The models predict drive outcomes, turnover likelihood, and scoring probabilities to generate win percentages.
- What makes these stats 'advanced'?
- Our statistics go beyond basic box scores by analyzing drive-level data, field position impact, situational football decisions, and using machine learning to predict future outcomes rather than just reporting past results.
- How accurate are your predictions?
- We track our model performance on every completed game, showing predicted vs. actual scores, spread accuracy, and over/under results. Members can view this data on individual game pages after games complete.
- What is drive efficiency?
- Drive efficiency measures how effectively a team moves the ball and scores on offensive possessions. We break this into offensive drive efficiency (scoring), defensive drive efficiency (preventing scores), and turnover efficiency.
- How do you calculate win probability?
- Win probability is calculated using our predictive models that incorporate team strength ratings, home field advantage, current form, and historical matchup data. The percentage represents the likelihood of each team winning.
Team & Player Stats
- What statistics are available for each NFL team?
- We provide comprehensive team statistics including offensive and defensive efficiency ratings, drive success rates, turnover models, field position analytics, and predictive performance metrics for all 32 NFL teams.
- How are team rankings determined?
- Our power rankings are based on a combination of offensive and defensive drive efficiency, turnover margins, and win probability against a theoretical median opponent. Rankings update weekly as new game data is processed.
- Do you have individual player statistics?
- Our focus is primarily on team and drive-level analytics rather than individual player stats. For player-specific data, we recommend resources like Pro Football Reference.
Betting & Odds
- What betting information do you provide?
- For members, we display moneyline odds, point spreads, and over/under totals for each game. Our predictions can be compared against betting lines to identify potential value opportunities.
- Where do the betting odds come from?
- We source betting lines from major sportsbooks to provide accurate, up-to-date odds for each game.
- Should I bet based on your predictions?
- Our analytics are for informational and entertainment purposes only. While we strive for accuracy, sports betting involves risk and past performance doesn't guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.
Account & Membership
- What benefits do members get?
- Members get access to detailed game predictions with win probabilities and score predictions, betting line analysis, model performance tracking, and an ad-free browsing experience.
- How do I create an account?
- Click the 'Sign Up' button in the top navigation. You'll just need an email address and password - no credit card required.
- Can I delete my account?
- Yes, you can delete your account at any time by contacting us through our contact page. We will remove all your personal data from our systems.
Still have questions?
We're here to help. Reach out and we'll get back to you as soon as possible.
Contact Us