Terms of Service

These terms govern your use of advancedfootballstats.com (the "Site"), run by Spitfire Labs LLC, a Georgia limited liability company doing business as Advanced Football Stats ("we", "us"). By using the Site or creating an account you agree to them. If you don't agree, please don't use the Site.

1. What the Site provides

Advanced Football Stats publishes NFL statistics, team rankings, game simulations and model-based predictions. Everything on the Site is for information and entertainment. Predictions are estimates from statistical models and are often wrong. Nothing on the Site is betting, financial or other professional advice, and you are responsible for any decision you make using it.

Betting lines and model probabilities are shown for comparison and research only. We do not accept, place or facilitate wagers. Any record, win rate or results shown for our models are hypothetical unless the Site clearly says otherwise. You must be 21 or older to use betting-related features, and you agree to use the Site only in compliance with the gambling laws that apply to you. Our Disclaimer forms part of these terms.

2. Accounts

• You must be at least 18 (or the age of majority where you live, if higher) to create an account or buy a paid plan, and at least 21 to use betting-related features.
• Give accurate information and keep it up to date.
• Each account is for one named person. Don't share your login or let anyone else use your account. Team or organization access is available only under a team plan or a separate agreement with us.
• Choose a strong password you don't use elsewhere and keep it confidential. You are responsible for activity on your account, unless it results from our failure to take reasonable security measures.
• Tell us promptly at admin@advancedfootballstats.com if you think someone else has used your account.
• You can ask us to delete your account at any time (see the Privacy Policy).

3. Paid plans

We do not sell paid plans yet. When we do, this section applies to them. It covers subscriptions that individuals buy on the Site for their own use. Businesses, teams, schools and other organizations buy under a separate order form or agreement, and its terms apply instead.

What you get and what it costs

• Before you buy, we show you the plan's name, what it includes, its price, how often you are billed and that it renews automatically. Paid plans cover NFL statistics and analysis; they do not include betting picks or wagering advice.
• Prices are in US dollars (USD), plus any applicable tax. We show the tax at checkout before you pay.
• Payments are processed by Stripe. We never see or store your full card number.
• Access starts as soon as your payment goes through. Everything is delivered online through your account; nothing is shipped.
• Right after you subscribe, we email you a confirmation with the plan, the price, the billing period, the date and amount of your next charge, how to cancel and a link to our Refund Policy.

Automatic renewal

• Your subscription renews automatically at the end of each billing period, and we charge the card on file the price then in effect, until you cancel.
• Annual plans: we email you a reminder between 15 and 30 days before each renewal, with the date, the amount and how to cancel.
• Monthly plans: at least once a year we email you a summary of your subscription, its price and how to cancel.

Cancelling

• You can cancel online at any time from your account (Account → Manage subscription), with no need to call or write to us. You can also email admin@advancedfootballstats.com from the address on your account; your cancellation takes effect when we receive the email, even if we reply later.
• Cancelling stops all future charges. You keep paid access until the end of the period you have already paid for, then your account becomes a free account. We email you to confirm the cancellation.

Free trials

• If we offer a free trial that asks for a payment method, we tell you before you start how long the trial lasts, the price that applies afterwards, and the date the first charge will happen.
• We email you a reminder between 7 and 21 days before the trial ends, or when you sign up if the trial lasts 7 days or less.
• Unless you cancel before the trial ends, your paid subscription starts automatically and we charge the price shown. Cancelling during the trial costs nothing; you can do it from Account → Manage subscription or by email as above.

Price changes

• If we change the price of your plan, we email you between 7 and 30 days before the new price first applies to you, with the new price, the date it applies and how to cancel.
• A new price applies only from your next renewal after that email. It never changes a period you have already paid for.
• If you don't want the new price, cancel before that renewal. If you are charged the new price and cancel within 14 days of that charge, we refund the unused part of that period.

Refunds and disputes

• Refunds, including what happens to your access when we refund, are covered by our Refund Policy.
• Charges appear on your card statement under a name that identifies Advanced Football Stats; your confirmation email shows the exact wording. If a charge looks wrong, please contact us at admin@advancedfootballstats.com before disputing it with your bank. We can usually fix it faster.

4. Acceptable use

Please don't:

• scrape, crawl or bulk-download the Site's data, or use automated tools to access it, beyond what a normal browser does;
• resell, republish or redistribute our predictions, model outputs or other original content without written permission;
• sell, publish or distribute our predictions or probabilities as betting picks or tips, or use them to run a tout, handicapping or betting service;
• systematically copy or forward paid content (for example, posting full premium pages or sharing exports) to people who don't have their own subscription. Quoting small parts with a link back is fine (see section 5);
• try to get around access controls, probe or attack our systems, or interfere with other users;
• use the Site for anything unlawful.

We may limit simultaneous sessions or ask you to sign in again if we detect that an account is being shared. If you break these rules, we may suspend or close your account (see section 8).

5. Our content

Our original content belongs to Spitfire Labs LLC: the Site's text and design, our models, simulations, predictions, ratings and rankings, and the way we select and arrange data on the Site. You may view it and use it for your own personal, non-commercial purposes, and you may quote small parts with a link back to the Site.

Third-party data. Some data on the Site comes from third parties under open licenses, including nflverse data under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 license. Those licenses, not these terms, govern your use of that underlying data, and nothing in these terms limits any right you have under them. Facts such as game scores belong to no one.

NFL and team names, logos and marks belong to their owners. Advanced Football Stats is not affiliated with, endorsed by or sponsored by the National Football League or any team.

6. Other websites

The Site links to and uses services run by others (for example Google and Stripe). We are not responsible for their content or practices.

7. Changes to the Site and availability

The Site is provided on an "as available" basis. We may add, change, suspend or remove features, data or content at any time, or stop operating the Site. If we materially reduce the paid features of a plan during a period you have already paid for, you may cancel and receive a refund of the unused part of that period.

The Site may be unavailable from time to time, for maintenance or for reasons outside our control. We do not guarantee that predictions, simulations or data will be published by any particular time, including before a game starts.

8. Suspension and termination

You can stop using the Site and close your account at any time. We may suspend or close your account, or end your access to the Site, with notice where practical, if:

• you break these terms;
• we reasonably believe your account is compromised, or is being used in a way that threatens the security or operation of the Site or other users;
• a payment fails or is reversed (for example, by a chargeback);
• the law, a court or a government authority requires it;
• a free account has been inactive for more than 24 months; or
• we stop offering the Site or the part of it your account relates to.

When your account ends, your right to use the account and any paid features ends too, and we handle your data as described in the Privacy Policy. Amounts already owed remain payable. If we end a paid plan for a reason other than your breach of these terms or a failed or reversed payment, we will refund the unused part of the period you paid for.

9. Disclaimer of warranties

Some jurisdictions don't allow implied warranties to be disclaimed, so some of the above may not apply to you.

10. Limitation of liability

Some jurisdictions don't allow the exclusion or limitation of certain damages, so some of the above may not apply to you.

11. Indemnity

You agree to defend and indemnify Spitfire Labs LLC against third-party claims, and related reasonable costs and attorneys' fees, to the extent they arise from (a) content you upload or submit to the Site, including any claim that you lacked the rights or consents needed to do so; (b) your breach of section 4 (Acceptable use); or (c) your violation of law or of someone else's rights. This does not apply to the extent a claim results from our own negligence or misconduct. We will tell you promptly about any such claim and let you take part in its defense at your own expense.

12. Disputes and arbitration

Informal resolution first. Before starting an arbitration or court case, the person bringing the claim must send the other a written notice describing the claim and the relief sought (to us at admin@advancedfootballstats.com; to you at the email address on your account), and both of us will try in good faith to resolve it for 60 days, including by a call if either of us asks. Any time limit for bringing the claim is paused during those 60 days.

Binding individual arbitration. Any dispute, claim or controversy between you and us arising out of or relating to the Site or these terms that is not resolved informally will be resolved by binding individual arbitration administered by the American Arbitration Association ("AAA") under its Consumer Arbitration Rules and, where they apply, its Mass Arbitration Supplementary Rules, as in effect when the arbitration starts. Fees are paid as those rules provide; if you show that the costs of arbitration would be prohibitive compared with going to court, we will pay as much of your filing and arbitrator fees as the arbitrator finds necessary to prevent that. Hearings will be held by video or phone or, if you prefer, in the county where you live. The arbitrator may award the same individual relief a court could, but only in favor of the individual party seeking it and only to the extent needed to resolve that party's claim.

Exceptions. Either of us may instead bring an individual claim in small-claims court if it qualifies and stays there. Either of us may also ask a court for an injunction or other equitable relief to stop infringement or misuse of intellectual property, or unauthorized access to the Site.

No class or representative actions. You and we may bring claims against each other only individually, and not as a plaintiff or class member in any class, collective, consolidated or representative proceeding. The arbitrator may not combine more than one person's claims, except as described under "Mass filings" below. If this class and representative-action waiver is found unenforceable for a particular claim or request for relief, that claim or request (and only that one) will be decided by a court in the venue below, not in arbitration, and will be stayed until the individual arbitrable claims are decided. In no case will a class or representative claim be arbitrated.

Mass filings. If 25 or more similar demands for arbitration are filed against us, or by us, by or with the help of the same or coordinated counsel, they will be administered in batches of up to 50 demands (with the last batch taking any remainder), with one arbitrator assigned to each batch, to the extent consistent with the AAA's rules. Time limits for those claims are paused while they wait to be batched. If any part of this paragraph is found unenforceable, the AAA's rules apply to those demands instead.

Opting out. You can opt out of this section 12 by emailing admin@advancedfootballstats.com within 30 days after you first accept these terms (or, if you had an account before this section was added, within 30 days after you first accept a version of these terms that contains it). Include your name, your account email and a clear statement that you want to opt out of arbitration. Opting out does not affect the rest of these terms. If you opt out, disputes will be resolved in court in the venue below.

Changes to this section. If we make a material change to this section, it will not apply to any claim that was filed, or that either of us had notice of, before the change takes effect. You can reject the change by emailing us within 30 days after it takes effect; this section as it stood before the change will then continue to apply to you.

Federal Arbitration Act. These terms involve interstate commerce, and the Federal Arbitration Act (9 U.S.C. § 1 et seq.) governs the interpretation and enforcement of this section.

Venue. Any dispute that is not arbitrated under this section (including if you opt out, a claim within an exception, or a claim a court decides under the class-waiver paragraph above) will be brought only in the state or federal courts located in Fulton County, Georgia, except for small-claims cases. You and we both consent to personal jurisdiction and venue in those courts.

13. Governing law

These terms are governed by the laws of the State of Georgia, without regard to its conflict-of-law rules, and by the laws of the United States where they apply (including the Federal Arbitration Act for section 12).

14. Changes to these terms

We may change these terms. When we do, we will post the new version on this page with a new date. If a change is material, we will give account holders at least 30 days' notice by email and on the Site before it takes effect, and we may ask you to accept the updated terms before you can keep using your account. Changes apply only going forward: they do not apply to any dispute that arose, or that either of us had notice of, before the change took effect. For a paid plan, a change that affects your plan takes effect at your next renewal. If you don't agree to a change, you can close your account, or cancel your plan before it renews.

15. General

Entire agreement. These terms, together with our Privacy Policy, Refund Policy and Disclaimer, and any terms shown to you when you buy a plan, are the entire agreement between you and Spitfire Labs LLC about the Site, and replace any earlier agreements or statements about it. If the Disclaimer or another page conflicts with these terms, these terms control.

Assignment. You may not transfer these terms or your account to anyone else without our written consent. We may assign or transfer these terms, in whole or in part, without your consent, including to an affiliate or in connection with a merger, acquisition, reorganization or sale of all or substantially all of our business or assets.

Severability. If any part of these terms is found unenforceable, it will be enforced to the maximum extent permitted and the rest of these terms will stay in effect, except as section 12 says about the class and representative-action waiver.

No waiver. If we don't enforce a provision, that does not waive our right to enforce it later.

Survival. Sections 5 (Our content), 8 (Suspension and termination, as to the effect of termination and refunds), 9 (Disclaimer of warranties), 10 (Limitation of liability), 11 (Indemnity), 12 (Disputes and arbitration), 13 (Governing law) and this section 15, and any amounts you owe, survive after these terms or your account end.

Notices and electronic communications. You agree that we may give you notices and other communications electronically, by email to the address on your account or by posting them on the Site, and that these satisfy any legal requirement that they be in writing. Keep your account email up to date. You may give us notice by email to admin@advancedfootballstats.com.

Events outside our control. We are not responsible for delays or failures caused by events beyond our reasonable control, including failures of hosting, computing or data providers, internet or power outages, cyberattacks, labor disputes, natural disasters, government action, or changes to the NFL schedule or to third-party data feeds.

16. Contact

Questions about these terms: admin@advancedfootballstats.com.