Pick winners and every team's chances update. We replay all 2,000 simulated seasons from Week 6 with your results and seed each one with the NFL's tiebreakers. A pick changes that game only: it doesn't change how good the model thinks a team is for its later games. Pick every game to see your playoff picture, then pick the bracket.
3 of 193 games picked · 190 to go for your playoff picture
Percentages: each side's share of the simulated seasons. Win chances for games after Week 6 come with Premium; you can still pick them.
Log in or sign up free to save your picks and come back to them.
| Team | Playoffs | Div. | #1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 90%+4 pts | 59% | 28% |
| JAX | 81%+1 pts | 72% | 16% |
| NWE | 81% | 36% | 13% |
| KAN | 77%−1 pts | 60% | 14% |
| BAL | 73% | 43% | 13% |
| CIN | 63% | 30% | 6% |
| LVR | 48%−1 pts | 23% | 2% |
| PIT | 40%−1 pts | 15% | 2% |
| DEN | 38%+9 pts | 16% | 2% |
| CLE | 32% | 12% | 1% |
| IND | 30% | 18% | <1% |
| NYJ | 22% | 5% | 1% |
| HOU | 17%−9 pts | 8% | <1% |
| LAC | 4% | 2% | 0% |
| TEN | 3% | 2% | 0% |
| MIA | 1%−1 pts | <1% | 0% |
| Team | Playoffs | Div. | #1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| SFO | 92% | 70% | 44% |
| MIN | 71% | 39% | 14% |
| CHI | 62% | 26% | 8% |
| SEA | 61% | 18% | 8% |
| DET | 58% | 26% | 7% |
| CAR | 58%−8 pts | 47% | 3% |
| LAR | 54% | 12% | 4% |
| NYG | 52%+11 pts | 39% | 3% |
| ATL | 46%+1 pts | 32% | 4% |
| DAL | 44%−3 pts | 34% | 2% |
| GNB | 31% | 9% | 2% |
| PHI | 27%−2 pts | 20% | 1% |
| NOR | 15%+1 pts | 10% | <1% |
| TAM | 14%+1 pts | 10% | <1% |
| WAS | 11%−1 pts | 6% | <1% |
| ARI | 5% | 1% | <1% |
Changes are against the same seasons with no picks. Small moves (a point or two) can be simulation noise.