Pick winners and every team's chances update. We replay all 2,000 simulated seasons from Week 6 with your results and seed each one with the NFL's tiebreakers. A pick changes that game only: it doesn't change how good the model thinks a team is for its later games. Pick every game to see your playoff picture, then pick the bracket.
2 of 193 games picked · 191 to go for your playoff picture
Percentages: each side's share of the simulated seasons. Win chances for games after Week 6 come with Premium; you can still pick them.
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| Team | Playoffs | Div. | #1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 87% | 61% | 28% |
| JAX | 80% | 69% | 19% |
| NWE | 76%−5 pts | 33% | 9% |
| KAN | 74%−4 pts | 56% | 11% |
| BAL | 73% | 43% | 14% |
| CIN | 64%+1 pts | 30% | 8% |
| LVR | 51%+1 pts | 28% | 3% |
| PIT | 41%+1 pts | 15% | 3% |
| CLE | 33%+1 pts | 12% | 1% |
| IND | 31%+1 pts | 17% | 1% |
| DEN | 31%+1 pts | 14% | 2% |
| HOU | 26%+1 pts | 12% | <1% |
| NYJ | 23%+1 pts | 5% | 1% |
| LAC | 5% | 2% | 0% |
| TEN | 3% | 2% | 0% |
| MIA | 2% | 1% | 0% |
| Team | Playoffs | Div. | #1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| SFO | 95%+3 pts | 75% | 49% |
| MIN | 70%−1 pts | 36% | 12% |
| CHI | 69%+7 pts | 30% | 9% |
| CAR | 66%−1 pts | 54% | 6% |
| SEA | 60%−1 pts | 15% | 7% |
| DET | 57%−1 pts | 25% | 5% |
| LAR | 53%−2 pts | 9% | 3% |
| DAL | 46%−1 pts | 38% | 2% |
| ATL | 44%−1 pts | 28% | 3% |
| NYG | 40%−1 pts | 31% | 1% |
| GNB | 30%−1 pts | 9% | 2% |
| PHI | 28% | 24% | 1% |
| NOR | 14% | 9% | <1% |
| TAM | 13% | 9% | <1% |
| WAS | 11% | 7% | <1% |
| ARI | 4% | <1% | 0% |
Changes are against the same seasons with no picks. Small moves (a point or two) can be simulation noise.