Pick winners and every team's chances update. We replay all 2,000 simulated seasons from Week 6 with your results and seed each one with the NFL's tiebreakers. A pick changes that game only: it doesn't change how good the model thinks a team is for its later games. Pick every game to see your playoff picture, then pick the bracket.
3 of 193 games picked · 190 to go for your playoff picture
Percentages: each side's share of the simulated seasons. Win chances for games after Week 6 come with Premium; you can still pick them.
Log in or sign up free to save your picks and come back to them.
| Team | Playoffs | Div. | #1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 87% | 56% | 26% |
| NWE | 81% | 39% | 14% |
| JAX | 80% | 69% | 17% |
| KAN | 77%−1 pts | 60% | 15% |
| BAL | 72%−1 pts | 43% | 13% |
| CIN | 63%−1 pts | 30% | 6% |
| LVR | 48%−1 pts | 23% | 3% |
| DEN | 39%+10 pts | 15% | 2% |
| CLE | 39%+7 pts | 17% | 2% |
| IND | 30% | 17% | <1% |
| PIT | 28%−12 pts | 10% | 1% |
| HOU | 25% | 12% | <1% |
| NYJ | 23% | 5% | 1% |
| LAC | 4% | 2% | 0% |
| TEN | 3% | 2% | 0% |
| MIA | 2% | 1% | 0% |
| Team | Playoffs | Div. | #1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| SFO | 93% | 70% | 43% |
| MIN | 71%+1 pts | 39% | 13% |
| CAR | 67%+1 pts | 55% | 7% |
| CHI | 62%+1 pts | 26% | 8% |
| SEA | 62% | 18% | 8% |
| DET | 58% | 26% | 6% |
| LAR | 55%+1 pts | 12% | 4% |
| ATL | 46%+1 pts | 29% | 4% |
| NYG | 43%+2 pts | 35% | 2% |
| DAL | 38%−9 pts | 31% | 1% |
| GNB | 31% | 9% | 2% |
| PHI | 31%+2 pts | 26% | 1% |
| TAM | 14% | 9% | <1% |
| WAS | 13%+1 pts | 9% | <1% |
| NOR | 10%−4 pts | 7% | <1% |
| ARI | 7%+2 pts | 1% | <1% |
Changes are against the same seasons with no picks. Small moves (a point or two) can be simulation noise.