Pick winners and every team's chances update. We replay all 2,000 simulated seasons from Week 6 with your results and seed each one with the NFL's tiebreakers. A pick changes that game only: it doesn't change how good the model thinks a team is for its later games. Pick every game to see your playoff picture, then pick the bracket.
3 of 193 games picked · 190 to go for your playoff picture
Percentages: each side's share of the simulated seasons. Win chances for games after Week 6 come with Premium; you can still pick them.
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| Team | Playoffs | Div. | #1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 86% | 56% | 26% |
| JAX | 80% | 69% | 17% |
| NWE | 80%−1 pts | 39% | 14% |
| KAN | 76%−1 pts | 57% | 14% |
| BAL | 73% | 43% | 13% |
| CIN | 62%−1 pts | 30% | 6% |
| LVR | 59%+10 pts | 31% | 4% |
| PIT | 39%−1 pts | 15% | 2% |
| CLE | 31%−1 pts | 12% | 1% |
| IND | 29%−1 pts | 17% | <1% |
| DEN | 28%−1 pts | 11% | 2% |
| HOU | 25%−1 pts | 12% | <1% |
| NYJ | 22%−1 pts | 5% | 1% |
| LAC | 4% | 2% | 0% |
| TEN | 3% | 2% | 0% |
| MIA | 2% | 1% | 0% |
| Team | Playoffs | Div. | #1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| SFO | 89%−3 pts | 64% | 35% |
| MIN | 71% | 39% | 16% |
| CAR | 65%−1 pts | 53% | 8% |
| CHI | 62%+1 pts | 26% | 9% |
| SEA | 62% | 21% | 9% |
| DET | 58% | 26% | 7% |
| LAR | 55%+1 pts | 15% | 5% |
| ATL | 51%+6 pts | 31% | 5% |
| NYG | 44%+3 pts | 36% | 2% |
| DAL | 38%−9 pts | 32% | 1% |
| GNB | 31% | 9% | 2% |
| PHI | 31%+3 pts | 27% | 1% |
| NOR | 14% | 8% | <1% |
| TAM | 13% | 8% | <1% |
| WAS | 8%−4 pts | 6% | <1% |
| ARI | 7%+2 pts | 1% | <1% |
Changes are against the same seasons with no picks. Small moves (a point or two) can be simulation noise.