Pick winners and every team's chances update. We replay all 2,000 simulated seasons from Week 6 with your results and seed each one with the NFL's tiebreakers. A pick changes that game only: it doesn't change how good the model thinks a team is for its later games. Pick every game to see your playoff picture, then pick the bracket.
3 of 193 games picked · 190 to go for your playoff picture
Percentages: each side's share of the simulated seasons. Win chances for games after Week 6 come with Premium; you can still pick them.
Log in or sign up free to save your picks and come back to them.
| Team | Playoffs | Div. | #1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 90%+4 pts | 59% | 28% |
| NWE | 80%−1 pts | 36% | 13% |
| JAX | 80% | 69% | 16% |
| KAN | 77%−1 pts | 63% | 14% |
| BAL | 72%−1 pts | 42% | 13% |
| CIN | 62%−1 pts | 28% | 6% |
| LVR | 48%−1 pts | 24% | 2% |
| PIT | 39%−1 pts | 14% | 2% |
| CLE | 39%+6 pts | 16% | 2% |
| IND | 29%−1 pts | 17% | <1% |
| DEN | 28%−1 pts | 12% | 2% |
| HOU | 25% | 12% | <1% |
| NYJ | 22%−1 pts | 5% | 1% |
| LAC | 4% | 2% | 0% |
| TEN | 3% | 2% | 0% |
| MIA | 1%−1 pts | <1% | 0% |
| Team | Playoffs | Div. | #1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| SFO | 93%+1 pts | 74% | 44% |
| MIN | 72%+1 pts | 39% | 14% |
| CAR | 67%+1 pts | 55% | 7% |
| CHI | 63%+2 pts | 26% | 8% |
| SEA | 63%+1 pts | 19% | 8% |
| DET | 59%+1 pts | 26% | 6% |
| DAL | 47%+1 pts | 38% | 2% |
| ATL | 47%+2 pts | 29% | 4% |
| NYG | 41%+1 pts | 31% | 2% |
| LAR | 41%−13 pts | 6% | 1% |
| GNB | 33%+2 pts | 9% | 2% |
| PHI | 30%+1 pts | 24% | 1% |
| TAM | 14% | 9% | <1% |
| WAS | 12% | 7% | <1% |
| NOR | 10%−4 pts | 7% | <1% |
| ARI | 8%+3 pts | 1% | <1% |
Changes are against the same seasons with no picks. Small moves (a point or two) can be simulation noise.