Pick winners and every team's chances update. We replay all 2,000 simulated seasons from Week 6 with your results and seed each one with the NFL's tiebreakers. A pick changes that game only: it doesn't change how good the model thinks a team is for its later games. Pick every game to see your playoff picture, then pick the bracket.
3 of 193 games picked · 190 to go for your playoff picture
Percentages: each side's share of the simulated seasons. Win chances for games after Week 6 come with Premium; you can still pick them.
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| Team | Playoffs | Div. | #1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 87%+1 pts | 56% | 26% |
| NWE | 82%+1 pts | 39% | 14% |
| JAX | 80% | 69% | 17% |
| KAN | 78% | 62% | 15% |
| BAL | 74%+1 pts | 44% | 13% |
| CIN | 64%+1 pts | 31% | 7% |
| LVR | 50%+1 pts | 24% | 3% |
| PIT | 33%−7 pts | 12% | 1% |
| CLE | 33% | 13% | 1% |
| DEN | 31%+1 pts | 12% | 2% |
| IND | 30% | 17% | 1% |
| HOU | 26% | 12% | <1% |
| NYJ | 23%+1 pts | 5% | 1% |
| LAC | 5% | 2% | 0% |
| TEN | 3% | 2% | 0% |
| MIA | 1%−1 pts | <1% | 0% |
| Team | Playoffs | Div. | #1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| SFO | 92% | 70% | 43% |
| CAR | 71%+5 pts | 58% | 8% |
| MIN | 70%−1 pts | 37% | 13% |
| DET | 63%+5 pts | 29% | 7% |
| SEA | 61% | 18% | 8% |
| CHI | 60%−1 pts | 25% | 8% |
| LAR | 54% | 12% | 4% |
| DAL | 48%+1 pts | 41% | 2% |
| ATL | 43%−2 pts | 25% | 4% |
| NYG | 32%−8 pts | 25% | 1% |
| GNB | 31%−1 pts | 8% | 2% |
| PHI | 30%+1 pts | 25% | 1% |
| NOR | 16%+2 pts | 9% | <1% |
| TAM | 12%−1 pts | 8% | <1% |
| WAS | 12% | 8% | <1% |
| ARI | 5% | 1% | <1% |
Changes are against the same seasons with no picks. Small moves (a point or two) can be simulation noise.