NFL Standings and Projected Wins: Conference, 2023

Current records plus each team's projected final wins, the average over 2,000 simulations of the rest of the season with our drive-by-drive game model. Projections account for remaining schedule and team strength. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

NFL standings, Conference, 2023: record (W-L, plus ties if any) and projected final wins (mean of 2,000 season simulations), sorted by projected wins.
RankTeamRecordProj. wins
1 (no change since last week)BAL13-313.0
2 (up 2 places since last week)SFO12-512.0
3 (no change since last week)DAL12-512.0
4 (down 2 places since last week)DET11-512.0
5 (up 2 places since last week)MIA11-611.0
6 (down 1 place since last week)BUF11-611.0
7 (up 1 place since last week)CLE11-611.0
8 (down 2 places since last week)KAN11-611.0
9 (no change since last week)PHI11-611.0
10 (no change since last week)HOU9-710.0
11 (no change since last week)PIT9-610.0
12 (no change since last week)LAR10-710.0
13 (up 4 places since last week)IND8-79.0
14 (down 1 place since last week)JAX9-89.0
15 (no change since last week)CIN8-89.0
16 (down 2 places since last week)TAM9-89.0
17 (up 1 place since last week)SEA9-89.0
18 (up 1 place since last week)NOR9-89.0
19 (down 3 places since last week)GNB9-89.0
20 (up 1 place since last week)LVR8-98.0
21 (down 1 place since last week)DEN8-88.0
22 (up 3 places since last week)NYJ7-107.0
23 (no change since last week)ATL7-107.0
24 (no change since last week)MIN7-97.0
25 (down 3 places since last week)CHI7-107.0
26 (up 1 place since last week)TEN6-116.0
27 (down 1 place since last week)NYG6-116.0
28 (no change since last week)LAC5-125.0
29 (up 2 places since last week)ARI4-134.0
30 (no change since last week)NWE4-134.0
31 (down 2 places since last week)WAS4-134.0
32 (no change since last week)CAR2-152.0

Projected wins rangePremium

See each team's full range of final win totals from 2,000 season simulations: the median, the middle 50% and the 94% range.

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