Current records plus each team's projected final wins, the average over 2,000 simulations of the rest of the season with our drive-by-drive game model. Projections account for remaining schedule and team strength. How the model works.
NFL standings by division, Week 18, 2025: record (W-L, plus ties if any) and projected final wins (mean of 2,000 season simulations), sorted by wins, then projected wins.
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
New England PatriotsNWE | 13-3 | 13.7 |
Buffalo BillsBUF | 11-5 | 11.9 |
Miami DolphinsMIA | 7-9 | 7.3 |
New York JetsNYJ | 3-13 | 3.1 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 9-7 | 9.5 |
Baltimore RavensBAL | 8-8 | 8.5 |
Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 6-10 | 6.5 |
Cleveland BrownsCLE | 4-12 | 4.5 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 12-4 | 12.8 |
Houston TexansHOU | 11-5 | 11.5 |
Indianapolis ColtsIND | 8-8 | 8.5 |
Tennessee TitansTEN | 3-13 | 3.1 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Denver BroncosDEN | 13-3 | 13.5 |
Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 11-5 | 11.5 |
Kansas City ChiefsKAN | 6-10 | 6.8 |
Las Vegas RaidersLVR | 2-14 | 2.2 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 11-5 | 11.7 |
Dallas CowboysDAL | 7-8-1 | 7.5 |
Washington CommandersWAS | 4-12 | 4.3 |
New York GiantsNYG | 3-13 | 3.5 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Chicago BearsCHI | 11-5 | 11.4 |
Green Bay PackersGNB | 9-6-1 | 9.6 |
Detroit LionsDET | 8-8 | 8.6 |
Minnesota VikingsMIN | 8-8 | 8.4 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Carolina PanthersCAR | 8-8 | 8.5 |
Atlanta FalconsATL | 7-9 | 7.5 |
Tampa Bay BuccaneersTAM | 7-9 | 7.5 |
New Orleans SaintsNOR | 6-10 | 6.4 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Seattle SeahawksSEA | 13-3 | 13.7 |
San Francisco 49ersSFO | 12-4 | 12.3 |
Los Angeles RamsLAR | 11-5 | 11.8 |
Arizona CardinalsARI | 3-13 | 3.1 |
See each team's full range of final win totals from 2,000 season simulations: the median, the middle 50% and the 94% range.