Current records plus each team's projected final wins, the average over 2,000 simulations of the rest of the season with our drive-by-drive game model. Projections account for remaining schedule and team strength. How the model works.
NFL standings by division, Week 11, 2024: record (W-L, plus ties if any) and projected final wins (mean of 2,000 season simulations), sorted by wins, then projected wins.
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Buffalo BillsBUF | 8-2 | 12.5 |
Miami DolphinsMIA | 3-6 | 7.2 |
New York JetsNYJ | 3-7 | 5.9 |
New England PatriotsNWE | 3-7 | 4.9 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Baltimore RavensBAL | 7-3 | 11.5 |
Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 7-2 | 11.5 |
Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 4-6 | 7.6 |
Cleveland BrownsCLE | 2-7 | 3.6 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Houston TexansHOU | 6-4 | 9.9 |
Indianapolis ColtsIND | 4-6 | 7.9 |
Tennessee TitansTEN | 2-7 | 5.1 |
Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 2-8 | 4.7 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Kansas City ChiefsKAN | 9-0 | 14.3 |
Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 6-3 | 11.1 |
Denver BroncosDEN | 5-5 | 8.6 |
Las Vegas RaidersLVR | 2-7 | 4.8 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 7-2 | 12.2 |
Washington CommandersWAS | 7-3 | 11.6 |
Dallas CowboysDAL | 3-6 | 5.7 |
New York GiantsNYG | 2-8 | 4.8 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Detroit LionsDET | 8-1 | 13.2 |
Minnesota VikingsMIN | 7-2 | 12.1 |
Green Bay PackersGNB | 6-3 | 10.7 |
Chicago BearsCHI | 4-5 | 7.0 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Atlanta FalconsATL | 6-4 | 9.4 |
Tampa Bay BuccaneersTAM | 4-6 | 8.9 |
New Orleans SaintsNOR | 3-7 | 6.4 |
Carolina PanthersCAR | 3-7 | 4.3 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Arizona CardinalsARI | 6-4 | 10.4 |
San Francisco 49ersSFO | 5-4 | 9.1 |
Los Angeles RamsLAR | 4-5 | 7.9 |
Seattle SeahawksSEA | 4-5 | 7.4 |
See each team's full range of final win totals from 2,000 season simulations: the median, the middle 50% and the 94% range.