NFL Standings and Projected Wins: Week 10, 2023

Current records plus each team's projected final wins, the average over 2,000 simulations of the rest of the season with our drive-by-drive game model. Projections account for remaining schedule and team strength. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

NFL standings by division, Week 10, 2023: record (W-L, plus ties if any) and projected final wins (mean of 2,000 season simulations), sorted by wins, then projected wins.

AFC East
TeamRecordProj. wins
MIA6-311.6
BUF5-49.8
NYJ4-47.7
NWE2-75.4
AFC North
TeamRecordProj. wins
BAL7-212.7
CLE5-311.0
PIT5-39.2
CIN5-39.0
AFC South
TeamRecordProj. wins
JAX6-210.7
HOU4-49.8
IND4-58.9
TEN3-57.6
AFC West
TeamRecordProj. wins
KAN7-212.8
LAC4-49.1
LVR4-57.7
DEN3-56.8
NFC East
TeamRecordProj. wins
PHI8-112.8
DAL5-311.1
WAS4-57.9
NYG2-75.6
NFC North
TeamRecordProj. wins
DET6-210.9
MIN5-410.3
GNB3-58.0
CHI2-76.5
NFC South
TeamRecordProj. wins
NOR5-49.6
ATL4-58.8
TAM3-57.7
CAR1-75.5
NFC West
TeamRecordProj. wins
SFO5-310.6
SEA5-39.2
LAR3-67.1
ARI1-85.0

Projected wins rangePremium

See each team's full range of final win totals from 2,000 season simulations: the median, the middle 50% and the 94% range.

See Premium plansFrom US$5.99/mo billed yearlyLog in