Current records plus each team's projected final wins, the average over 2,000 simulations of the rest of the season with our drive-by-drive game model. Projections account for remaining schedule and team strength. How the model works.
NFL standings by division, Week 10, 2023: record (W-L, plus ties if any) and projected final wins (mean of 2,000 season simulations), sorted by wins, then projected wins.
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Miami DolphinsMIA | 6-3 | 11.6 |
Buffalo BillsBUF | 5-4 | 9.8 |
New York JetsNYJ | 4-4 | 7.7 |
New England PatriotsNWE | 2-7 | 5.4 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Baltimore RavensBAL | 7-2 | 12.7 |
Cleveland BrownsCLE | 5-3 | 11.0 |
Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 5-3 | 9.2 |
Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 5-3 | 9.0 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 6-2 | 10.7 |
Houston TexansHOU | 4-4 | 9.8 |
Indianapolis ColtsIND | 4-5 | 8.9 |
Tennessee TitansTEN | 3-5 | 7.6 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Kansas City ChiefsKAN | 7-2 | 12.8 |
Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 4-4 | 9.1 |
Las Vegas RaidersLVR | 4-5 | 7.7 |
Denver BroncosDEN | 3-5 | 6.8 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 8-1 | 12.8 |
Dallas CowboysDAL | 5-3 | 11.1 |
Washington CommandersWAS | 4-5 | 7.9 |
New York GiantsNYG | 2-7 | 5.6 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Detroit LionsDET | 6-2 | 10.9 |
Minnesota VikingsMIN | 5-4 | 10.3 |
Green Bay PackersGNB | 3-5 | 8.0 |
Chicago BearsCHI | 2-7 | 6.5 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
New Orleans SaintsNOR | 5-4 | 9.6 |
Atlanta FalconsATL | 4-5 | 8.8 |
Tampa Bay BuccaneersTAM | 3-5 | 7.7 |
Carolina PanthersCAR | 1-7 | 5.5 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
San Francisco 49ersSFO | 5-3 | 10.6 |
Seattle SeahawksSEA | 5-3 | 9.2 |
Los Angeles RamsLAR | 3-6 | 7.1 |
Arizona CardinalsARI | 1-8 | 5.0 |
See each team's full range of final win totals from 2,000 season simulations: the median, the middle 50% and the 94% range.