Current records plus each team's projected final wins, the average over 2,000 simulations of the rest of the season with our drive-by-drive game model. Projections account for remaining schedule and team strength. How the model works.
NFL standings by division, Week 17, 2024: record (W-L, plus ties if any) and projected final wins (mean of 2,000 season simulations), sorted by wins, then projected wins.
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Buffalo BillsBUF | 12-3 | 13.6 |
Miami DolphinsMIA | 7-8 | 8.4 |
New York JetsNYJ | 4-11 | 4.6 |
New England PatriotsNWE | 3-12 | 3.5 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Baltimore RavensBAL | 10-5 | 11.6 |
Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 10-5 | 10.8 |
Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 7-8 | 8.1 |
Cleveland BrownsCLE | 3-12 | 3.4 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Houston TexansHOU | 9-6 | 10.0 |
Indianapolis ColtsIND | 7-8 | 8.3 |
Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 3-12 | 3.8 |
Tennessee TitansTEN | 3-12 | 3.8 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Kansas City ChiefsKAN | 14-1 | 15.2 |
Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 9-6 | 10.4 |
Denver BroncosDEN | 9-6 | 9.9 |
Las Vegas RaidersLVR | 3-12 | 3.7 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 12-3 | 13.6 |
Washington CommandersWAS | 10-5 | 11.3 |
Dallas CowboysDAL | 7-8 | 7.5 |
New York GiantsNYG | 2-13 | 2.5 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Detroit LionsDET | 13-2 | 14.3 |
Minnesota VikingsMIN | 13-2 | 13.9 |
Green Bay PackersGNB | 11-4 | 12.3 |
Chicago BearsCHI | 4-11 | 4.7 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Tampa Bay BuccaneersTAM | 8-7 | 9.5 |
Atlanta FalconsATL | 8-7 | 9.1 |
New Orleans SaintsNOR | 5-10 | 5.9 |
Carolina PanthersCAR | 4-11 | 4.5 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Los Angeles RamsLAR | 9-6 | 9.9 |
Seattle SeahawksSEA | 8-7 | 9.1 |
Arizona CardinalsARI | 7-8 | 8.1 |
San Francisco 49ersSFO | 6-9 | 6.7 |
See each team's full range of final win totals from 2,000 season simulations: the median, the middle 50% and the 94% range.