Current records plus each team's projected final wins, the average over 2,000 simulations of the rest of the season with our drive-by-drive game model. Projections account for remaining schedule and team strength. How the model works.
NFL standings by division, Week 17, 2022: record (W-L, plus ties if any) and projected final wins (mean of 2,000 season simulations), sorted by wins, then projected wins.
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Buffalo BillsBUF | 12-3 | 12.8 |
Miami DolphinsMIA | 8-7 | 9.1 |
New York JetsNYJ | 7-8 | 8.0 |
New England PatriotsNWE | 7-8 | 7.6 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 11-4 | 11.6 |
Baltimore RavensBAL | 10-5 | 11.1 |
Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 7-8 | 7.8 |
Cleveland BrownsCLE | 6-9 | 7.1 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 7-8 | 8.2 |
Tennessee TitansTEN | 7-8 | 7.7 |
Indianapolis ColtsIND | 4-10-1 | 5.0 |
Houston TexansHOU | 2-12-1 | 2.8 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Kansas City ChiefsKAN | 12-3 | 13.4 |
Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 9-6 | 10.1 |
Las Vegas RaidersLVR | 6-9 | 6.7 |
Denver BroncosDEN | 4-11 | 4.7 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 13-2 | 14.5 |
Dallas CowboysDAL | 11-4 | 12.3 |
New York GiantsNYG | 8-6-1 | 8.8 |
Washington CommandersWAS | 7-7-1 | 7.9 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Minnesota VikingsMIN | 12-3 | 13.1 |
Detroit LionsDET | 7-8 | 8.1 |
Green Bay PackersGNB | 7-8 | 8.0 |
Chicago BearsCHI | 3-12 | 3.8 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Tampa Bay BuccaneersTAM | 7-8 | 8.1 |
Carolina PanthersCAR | 6-9 | 6.9 |
New Orleans SaintsNOR | 6-9 | 6.8 |
Atlanta FalconsATL | 5-10 | 6.0 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
San Francisco 49ersSFO | 11-4 | 12.3 |
Seattle SeahawksSEA | 7-8 | 8.0 |
Los Angeles RamsLAR | 5-10 | 5.9 |
Arizona CardinalsARI | 4-11 | 4.9 |
See each team's full range of final win totals from 2,000 season simulations: the median, the middle 50% and the 94% range.