Current records plus each team's projected final wins, the average over 2,000 simulations of the rest of the season with our drive-by-drive game model. Projections account for remaining schedule and team strength. How the model works.
NFL standings by division, Divisional, 2024: record (W-L, plus ties if any) and projected final wins (mean of 2,000 season simulations), sorted by wins, then projected wins.
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Buffalo BillsBUF | 13-4 | 14.4 |
Miami DolphinsMIA | 8-9 | 8.0 |
New York JetsNYJ | 5-12 | 5.0 |
New England PatriotsNWE | 4-13 | 4.0 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Baltimore RavensBAL | 12-5 | 13.6 |
Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 10-7 | 10.0 |
Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 9-8 | 9.0 |
Cleveland BrownsCLE | 3-14 | 3.0 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Houston TexansHOU | 10-7 | 11.4 |
Indianapolis ColtsIND | 8-9 | 8.0 |
Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 4-13 | 4.0 |
Tennessee TitansTEN | 3-14 | 3.0 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Kansas City ChiefsKAN | 15-2 | 15.6 |
Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 11-6 | 11.0 |
Denver BroncosDEN | 10-7 | 10.0 |
Las Vegas RaidersLVR | 4-13 | 4.0 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 14-3 | 15.7 |
Washington CommandersWAS | 12-5 | 13.4 |
Dallas CowboysDAL | 7-10 | 7.0 |
New York GiantsNYG | 3-14 | 3.0 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Detroit LionsDET | 15-2 | 15.6 |
Minnesota VikingsMIN | 14-3 | 14.0 |
Green Bay PackersGNB | 11-6 | 11.0 |
Chicago BearsCHI | 5-12 | 5.0 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Tampa Bay BuccaneersTAM | 10-7 | 10.0 |
Atlanta FalconsATL | 8-9 | 8.0 |
Carolina PanthersCAR | 5-12 | 5.0 |
New Orleans SaintsNOR | 5-12 | 5.0 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Los Angeles RamsLAR | 10-7 | 11.3 |
Seattle SeahawksSEA | 10-7 | 10.0 |
Arizona CardinalsARI | 8-9 | 8.0 |
San Francisco 49ersSFO | 6-11 | 6.0 |
See each team's full range of final win totals from 2,000 season simulations: the median, the middle 50% and the 94% range.