Current records plus each team's projected final wins, the average over 2,000 simulations of the rest of the season with our drive-by-drive game model. Projections account for remaining schedule and team strength. How the model works.
NFL standings by division, Week 5, 2024: record (W-L, plus ties if any) and projected final wins (mean of 2,000 season simulations), sorted by wins, then projected wins.
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Buffalo BillsBUF | 3-1 | 11.5 |
New York JetsNYJ | 2-2 | 9.4 |
New England PatriotsNWE | 1-3 | 6.8 |
Miami DolphinsMIA | 1-3 | 6.8 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 3-1 | 11.5 |
Baltimore RavensBAL | 2-2 | 9.9 |
Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 1-3 | 7.7 |
Cleveland BrownsCLE | 1-3 | 6.2 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Houston TexansHOU | 3-1 | 10.5 |
Indianapolis ColtsIND | 2-2 | 7.5 |
Tennessee TitansTEN | 1-3 | 9.1 |
Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 0-4 | 4.8 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Kansas City ChiefsKAN | 4-0 | 10.8 |
Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 2-2 | 10.1 |
Denver BroncosDEN | 2-2 | 10.0 |
Las Vegas RaidersLVR | 2-2 | 8.0 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Washington CommandersWAS | 3-1 | 9.1 |
Dallas CowboysDAL | 2-2 | 9.2 |
Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 2-2 | 8.9 |
New York GiantsNYG | 1-3 | 7.8 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Minnesota VikingsMIN | 4-0 | 13.6 |
Detroit LionsDET | 3-1 | 9.9 |
Chicago BearsCHI | 2-2 | 9.7 |
Green Bay PackersGNB | 2-2 | 8.8 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Tampa Bay BuccaneersTAM | 3-1 | 10.6 |
New Orleans SaintsNOR | 2-2 | 11.5 |
Atlanta FalconsATL | 2-2 | 8.1 |
Carolina PanthersCAR | 1-3 | 6.0 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Seattle SeahawksSEA | 3-1 | 10.2 |
San Francisco 49ersSFO | 2-2 | 9.5 |
Arizona CardinalsARI | 1-3 | 8.2 |
Los Angeles RamsLAR | 1-3 | 6.4 |
See each team's full range of final win totals from 2,000 season simulations: the median, the middle 50% and the 94% range.