NFL Standings and Projected Wins: Week 16, 2024
Current records plus each team's projected final wins, the average over 2,000 simulations of the rest of the season with our drive-by-drive game model. Projections account for remaining schedule and team strength. How the model works.
NFL standings by division, Week 16, 2024: record (W-L, plus ties if any) and projected final wins (mean of 2,000 season simulations), sorted by wins, then projected wins.
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
 Buffalo BillsBUF | 11-3 | 13.4 |
 Miami DolphinsMIA | 6-8 | 7.8 |
 New York JetsNYJ | 4-10 | 5.0 |
 New England PatriotsNWE | 3-11 | 3.6 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
 Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 10-4 | 11.2 |
 Baltimore RavensBAL | 9-5 | 11.3 |
 Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 6-8 | 7.7 |
 Cleveland BrownsCLE | 3-11 | 3.8 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
 Houston TexansHOU | 9-5 | 10.3 |
 Indianapolis ColtsIND | 6-8 | 7.9 |
 Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 3-11 | 4.3 |
 Tennessee TitansTEN | 3-11 | 4.2 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
 Kansas City ChiefsKAN | 13-1 | 14.8 |
 Denver BroncosDEN | 9-5 | 10.3 |
 Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 8-6 | 10.0 |
 Las Vegas RaidersLVR | 2-12 | 3.2 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
 Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 12-2 | 14.3 |
 Washington CommandersWAS | 9-5 | 10.8 |
 Dallas CowboysDAL | 6-8 | 6.7 |
 New York GiantsNYG | 2-12 | 3.0 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
 Detroit LionsDET | 12-2 | 14.1 |
 Minnesota VikingsMIN | 12-2 | 13.6 |
 Green Bay PackersGNB | 10-4 | 11.9 |
 Chicago BearsCHI | 4-10 | 4.9 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
 Tampa Bay BuccaneersTAM | 8-6 | 10.3 |
 Atlanta FalconsATL | 7-7 | 8.7 |
 New Orleans SaintsNOR | 5-9 | 6.3 |
 Carolina PanthersCAR | 3-11 | 3.6 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
 Los Angeles RamsLAR | 8-6 | 9.5 |
 Seattle SeahawksSEA | 8-6 | 9.4 |
 Arizona CardinalsARI | 7-7 | 8.9 |
 San Francisco 49ersSFO | 6-8 | 7.3 |
Projected wins rangePremium
See each team's full range of final win totals from 2,000 season simulations: the median, the middle 50% and the 94% range.