Current records plus each team's projected final wins, the average over 2,000 simulations of the rest of the season with our drive-by-drive game model. Projections account for remaining schedule and team strength. How the model works.
NFL standings by division, Week 18, 2024: record (W-L, plus ties if any) and projected final wins (mean of 2,000 season simulations), sorted by wins, then projected wins.
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Buffalo BillsBUF | 13-3 | 13.8 |
Miami DolphinsMIA | 8-8 | 8.6 |
New York JetsNYJ | 4-12 | 4.4 |
New England PatriotsNWE | 3-13 | 3.2 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Baltimore RavensBAL | 11-5 | 11.9 |
Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 10-6 | 10.5 |
Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 8-8 | 8.5 |
Cleveland BrownsCLE | 3-13 | 3.1 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Houston TexansHOU | 9-7 | 9.7 |
Indianapolis ColtsIND | 7-9 | 7.6 |
Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 4-12 | 4.3 |
Tennessee TitansTEN | 3-13 | 3.3 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Kansas City ChiefsKAN | 15-1 | 15.6 |
Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 10-6 | 10.7 |
Denver BroncosDEN | 9-7 | 9.4 |
Las Vegas RaidersLVR | 4-12 | 4.3 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 13-3 | 13.8 |
Washington CommandersWAS | 11-5 | 11.7 |
Dallas CowboysDAL | 7-9 | 7.3 |
New York GiantsNYG | 3-13 | 3.2 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Detroit LionsDET | 14-2 | 14.5 |
Minnesota VikingsMIN | 14-2 | 14.4 |
Green Bay PackersGNB | 11-5 | 11.8 |
Chicago BearsCHI | 4-12 | 4.3 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Tampa Bay BuccaneersTAM | 9-7 | 9.8 |
Atlanta FalconsATL | 8-8 | 8.8 |
New Orleans SaintsNOR | 5-11 | 5.3 |
Carolina PanthersCAR | 4-12 | 4.3 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Los Angeles RamsLAR | 10-6 | 10.5 |
Seattle SeahawksSEA | 9-7 | 9.5 |
Arizona CardinalsARI | 7-9 | 7.5 |
San Francisco 49ersSFO | 6-10 | 6.5 |
See each team's full range of final win totals from 2,000 season simulations: the median, the middle 50% and the 94% range.