NFL Standings and Projected Wins: Week 4, 2025

Current records plus each team's projected final wins, the average over 2,000 simulations of the rest of the season with our drive-by-drive game model. Projections account for remaining schedule and team strength. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

NFL standings by division, Week 4, 2025: record (W-L, plus ties if any) and projected final wins (mean of 2,000 season simulations), sorted by wins, then projected wins.

AFC East
TeamRecordProj. wins
BUF3-011.2
NWE1-28.0
NYJ0-36.9
MIA0-36.4
AFC North
TeamRecordProj. wins
PIT2-19.4
CIN2-18.3
BAL1-28.1
CLE1-27.4
AFC South
TeamRecordProj. wins
IND3-011.4
JAX2-19.8
HOU0-36.1
TEN0-35.6
AFC West
TeamRecordProj. wins
LAC3-011.4
KAN1-28.4
LVR1-27.7
DEN1-27.3
NFC East
TeamRecordProj. wins
PHI3-010.3
WAS2-18.3
DAL1-28.2
NYG0-36.4
NFC North
TeamRecordProj. wins
DET2-110.0
GNB2-19.5
MIN2-18.9
CHI1-27.5
NFC South
TeamRecordProj. wins
TAM3-09.5
CAR1-28.8
ATL1-28.3
NOR0-35.8
NFC West
TeamRecordProj. wins
SFO3-010.8
SEA2-19.3
LAR2-18.8
ARI2-18.7

Projected wins rangePremium

See each team's full range of final win totals from 2,000 season simulations: the median, the middle 50% and the 94% range.

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