Current records plus each team's projected final wins, the average over 2,000 simulations of the rest of the season with our drive-by-drive game model. Projections account for remaining schedule and team strength. How the model works.
NFL standings by division, Week 4, 2025: record (W-L, plus ties if any) and projected final wins (mean of 2,000 season simulations), sorted by wins, then projected wins.
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Buffalo BillsBUF | 3-0 | 11.2 |
New England PatriotsNWE | 1-2 | 8.0 |
New York JetsNYJ | 0-3 | 6.9 |
Miami DolphinsMIA | 0-3 | 6.4 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 2-1 | 9.4 |
Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 2-1 | 8.3 |
Baltimore RavensBAL | 1-2 | 8.1 |
Cleveland BrownsCLE | 1-2 | 7.4 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Indianapolis ColtsIND | 3-0 | 11.4 |
Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 2-1 | 9.8 |
Houston TexansHOU | 0-3 | 6.1 |
Tennessee TitansTEN | 0-3 | 5.6 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 3-0 | 11.4 |
Kansas City ChiefsKAN | 1-2 | 8.4 |
Las Vegas RaidersLVR | 1-2 | 7.7 |
Denver BroncosDEN | 1-2 | 7.3 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 3-0 | 10.3 |
Washington CommandersWAS | 2-1 | 8.3 |
Dallas CowboysDAL | 1-2 | 8.2 |
New York GiantsNYG | 0-3 | 6.4 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Detroit LionsDET | 2-1 | 10.0 |
Green Bay PackersGNB | 2-1 | 9.5 |
Minnesota VikingsMIN | 2-1 | 8.9 |
Chicago BearsCHI | 1-2 | 7.5 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Tampa Bay BuccaneersTAM | 3-0 | 9.5 |
Carolina PanthersCAR | 1-2 | 8.8 |
Atlanta FalconsATL | 1-2 | 8.3 |
New Orleans SaintsNOR | 0-3 | 5.8 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
San Francisco 49ersSFO | 3-0 | 10.8 |
Seattle SeahawksSEA | 2-1 | 9.3 |
Los Angeles RamsLAR | 2-1 | 8.8 |
Arizona CardinalsARI | 2-1 | 8.7 |
See each team's full range of final win totals from 2,000 season simulations: the median, the middle 50% and the 94% range.