Current records plus each team's projected final wins, the average over 2,000 simulations of the rest of the season with our drive-by-drive game model. Projections account for remaining schedule and team strength. How the model works.
NFL standings by division, Week 11, 2022: record (W-L, plus ties if any) and projected final wins (mean of 2,000 season simulations), sorted by wins, then projected wins.
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Miami DolphinsMIA | 7-3 | 10.6 |
Buffalo BillsBUF | 6-3 | 11.1 |
New York JetsNYJ | 6-3 | 10.2 |
New England PatriotsNWE | 5-4 | 8.1 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Baltimore RavensBAL | 6-3 | 11.1 |
Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 5-4 | 9.6 |
Cleveland BrownsCLE | 3-6 | 6.8 |
Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 3-6 | 6.0 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Tennessee TitansTEN | 6-3 | 9.0 |
Indianapolis ColtsIND | 4-5-1 | 7.4 |
Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 3-7 | 6.7 |
Houston TexansHOU | 1-7-1 | 3.9 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Kansas City ChiefsKAN | 7-2 | 12.2 |
Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 5-4 | 8.8 |
Denver BroncosDEN | 3-6 | 7.0 |
Las Vegas RaidersLVR | 2-7 | 6.0 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 8-1 | 13.6 |
New York GiantsNYG | 7-2 | 10.4 |
Dallas CowboysDAL | 6-3 | 10.5 |
Washington CommandersWAS | 5-5 | 8.3 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Minnesota VikingsMIN | 8-1 | 12.2 |
Green Bay PackersGNB | 4-6 | 7.6 |
Detroit LionsDET | 3-6 | 6.8 |
Chicago BearsCHI | 3-7 | 5.8 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Tampa Bay BuccaneersTAM | 5-5 | 8.4 |
Atlanta FalconsATL | 4-6 | 7.4 |
New Orleans SaintsNOR | 3-7 | 6.5 |
Carolina PanthersCAR | 3-7 | 5.5 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Seattle SeahawksSEA | 6-4 | 9.6 |
San Francisco 49ersSFO | 5-4 | 9.9 |
Arizona CardinalsARI | 4-6 | 7.3 |
Los Angeles RamsLAR | 3-6 | 6.3 |
See each team's full range of final win totals from 2,000 season simulations: the median, the middle 50% and the 94% range.