NFL Standings and Projected Wins: Week 16, 2022

Current records plus each team's projected final wins, the average over 2,000 simulations of the rest of the season with our drive-by-drive game model. Projections account for remaining schedule and team strength. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

NFL standings by division, Week 16, 2022: record (W-L, plus ties if any) and projected final wins (mean of 2,000 season simulations), sorted by wins, then projected wins.

AFC East
TeamRecordProj. wins
BUF11-312.6
MIA8-69.6
NYJ7-78.6
NWE7-78.0
AFC North
TeamRecordProj. wins
CIN10-411.3
BAL9-510.6
CLE6-87.6
PIT6-87.2
AFC South
TeamRecordProj. wins
TEN7-78.3
JAX6-87.7
IND4-9-15.5
HOU1-12-12.3
AFC West
TeamRecordProj. wins
KAN11-313.0
LAC8-69.7
LVR6-87.2
DEN4-105.3
NFC East
TeamRecordProj. wins
PHI13-115.2
DAL10-411.7
NYG8-5-19.2
WAS7-6-18.3
NFC North
TeamRecordProj. wins
MIN11-312.6
DET7-78.7
GNB6-87.5
CHI3-114.2
NFC South
TeamRecordProj. wins
TAM6-87.7
ATL5-96.4
NOR5-96.4
CAR5-96.2
NFC West
TeamRecordProj. wins
SFO10-412.0
SEA7-78.4
LAR4-105.3
ARI4-105.3

Projected wins rangePremium

See each team's full range of final win totals from 2,000 season simulations: the median, the middle 50% and the 94% range.

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