Current records plus each team's projected final wins, the average over 2,000 simulations of the rest of the season with our drive-by-drive game model. Projections account for remaining schedule and team strength. How the model works.
NFL standings by division, Week 5, 2023: record (W-L, plus ties if any) and projected final wins (mean of 2,000 season simulations), sorted by wins, then projected wins.
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Buffalo BillsBUF | 3-1 | 12.9 |
Miami DolphinsMIA | 3-1 | 11.4 |
New England PatriotsNWE | 1-3 | 6.3 |
New York JetsNYJ | 1-3 | 6.3 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Baltimore RavensBAL | 3-1 | 10.3 |
Cleveland BrownsCLE | 2-2 | 10.1 |
Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 2-2 | 7.9 |
Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 1-3 | 5.5 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Houston TexansHOU | 2-2 | 11.2 |
Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 2-2 | 9.0 |
Indianapolis ColtsIND | 2-2 | 8.6 |
Tennessee TitansTEN | 2-2 | 8.3 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Kansas City ChiefsKAN | 3-1 | 12.4 |
Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 2-2 | 9.3 |
Las Vegas RaidersLVR | 1-3 | 7.3 |
Denver BroncosDEN | 1-3 | 7.0 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 4-0 | 10.4 |
Dallas CowboysDAL | 3-1 | 12.2 |
Washington CommandersWAS | 2-2 | 8.1 |
New York GiantsNYG | 1-3 | 6.1 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Detroit LionsDET | 3-1 | 11.6 |
Green Bay PackersGNB | 2-2 | 8.3 |
Minnesota VikingsMIN | 1-3 | 8.8 |
Chicago BearsCHI | 0-4 | 5.4 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Tampa Bay BuccaneersTAM | 3-1 | 10.2 |
Atlanta FalconsATL | 2-2 | 8.6 |
New Orleans SaintsNOR | 2-2 | 8.0 |
Carolina PanthersCAR | 0-4 | 5.9 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
San Francisco 49ersSFO | 4-0 | 12.8 |
Seattle SeahawksSEA | 3-1 | 9.3 |
Los Angeles RamsLAR | 2-2 | 9.7 |
Arizona CardinalsARI | 1-3 | 8.2 |
See each team's full range of final win totals from 2,000 season simulations: the median, the middle 50% and the 94% range.