NFL Standings and Projected Wins: Week 5, 2023

Current records plus each team's projected final wins, the average over 2,000 simulations of the rest of the season with our drive-by-drive game model. Projections account for remaining schedule and team strength. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

NFL standings by division, Week 5, 2023: record (W-L, plus ties if any) and projected final wins (mean of 2,000 season simulations), sorted by wins, then projected wins.

AFC East
TeamRecordProj. wins
BUF3-112.9
MIA3-111.4
NWE1-36.3
NYJ1-36.3
AFC North
TeamRecordProj. wins
BAL3-110.3
CLE2-210.1
PIT2-27.9
CIN1-35.5
AFC South
TeamRecordProj. wins
HOU2-211.2
JAX2-29.0
IND2-28.6
TEN2-28.3
AFC West
TeamRecordProj. wins
KAN3-112.4
LAC2-29.3
LVR1-37.3
DEN1-37.0
NFC East
TeamRecordProj. wins
PHI4-010.4
DAL3-112.2
WAS2-28.1
NYG1-36.1
NFC North
TeamRecordProj. wins
DET3-111.6
GNB2-28.3
MIN1-38.8
CHI0-45.4
NFC South
TeamRecordProj. wins
TAM3-110.2
ATL2-28.6
NOR2-28.0
CAR0-45.9
NFC West
TeamRecordProj. wins
SFO4-012.8
SEA3-19.3
LAR2-29.7
ARI1-38.2

Projected wins rangePremium

See each team's full range of final win totals from 2,000 season simulations: the median, the middle 50% and the 94% range.

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