NFL Standings and Projected Wins: Week 4, 2023
Current records plus each team's projected final wins, the average over 2,000 simulations of the rest of the season with our drive-by-drive game model. Projections account for remaining schedule and team strength. How the model works.
NFL standings by division, Week 4, 2023: record (W-L, plus ties if any) and projected final wins (mean of 2,000 season simulations), sorted by wins, then projected wins.
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
 Miami DolphinsMIA | 3-0 | 11.5 |
 Buffalo BillsBUF | 2-1 | 12.1 |
 New England PatriotsNWE | 1-2 | 8.9 |
 New York JetsNYJ | 1-2 | 7.8 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
 Cleveland BrownsCLE | 2-1 | 12.8 |
 Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 2-1 | 9.6 |
 Baltimore RavensBAL | 2-1 | 9.2 |
 Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 1-2 | 6.7 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
 Indianapolis ColtsIND | 2-1 | 9.2 |
 Houston TexansHOU | 1-2 | 9.3 |
 Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 1-2 | 7.9 |
 Tennessee TitansTEN | 1-2 | 7.7 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
 Kansas City ChiefsKAN | 2-1 | 12.5 |
 Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 1-2 | 7.9 |
 Las Vegas RaidersLVR | 1-2 | 7.4 |
 Denver BroncosDEN | 0-3 | 5.0 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
 Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 3-0 | 11.4 |
 Dallas CowboysDAL | 2-1 | 11.4 |
 Washington CommandersWAS | 2-1 | 7.6 |
 New York GiantsNYG | 1-2 | 6.0 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
 Detroit LionsDET | 2-1 | 10.5 |
 Green Bay PackersGNB | 2-1 | 9.9 |
 Minnesota VikingsMIN | 0-3 | 7.0 |
 Chicago BearsCHI | 0-3 | 5.5 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
 New Orleans SaintsNOR | 2-1 | 10.3 |
 Atlanta FalconsATL | 2-1 | 9.8 |
 Tampa Bay BuccaneersTAM | 2-1 | 8.4 |
 Carolina PanthersCAR | 0-3 | 6.8 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
 San Francisco 49ersSFO | 3-0 | 12.6 |
 Seattle SeahawksSEA | 2-1 | 8.4 |
 Los Angeles RamsLAR | 1-2 | 9.2 |
 Arizona CardinalsARI | 1-2 | 7.7 |
Projected wins rangePremium
See each team's full range of final win totals from 2,000 season simulations: the median, the middle 50% and the 94% range.