Current records plus each team's projected final wins, the average over 2,000 simulations of the rest of the season with our drive-by-drive game model. Projections account for remaining schedule and team strength. How the model works.
NFL standings by division, Week 15, 2025: record (W-L, plus ties if any) and projected final wins (mean of 2,000 season simulations), sorted by wins, then projected wins.
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
New England PatriotsNWE | 11-2 | 13.2 |
Buffalo BillsBUF | 9-4 | 11.8 |
Miami DolphinsMIA | 6-7 | 8.2 |
New York JetsNYJ | 3-10 | 4.1 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 7-6 | 8.9 |
Baltimore RavensBAL | 6-7 | 7.9 |
Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 4-9 | 5.5 |
Cleveland BrownsCLE | 3-10 | 4.7 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 9-4 | 11.6 |
Houston TexansHOU | 8-5 | 10.6 |
Indianapolis ColtsIND | 8-5 | 10.1 |
Tennessee TitansTEN | 2-11 | 3.0 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Denver BroncosDEN | 11-2 | 12.8 |
Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 9-4 | 11.1 |
Kansas City ChiefsKAN | 6-7 | 8.8 |
Las Vegas RaidersLVR | 2-11 | 3.1 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 8-5 | 10.3 |
Dallas CowboysDAL | 6-6-1 | 8.1 |
Washington CommandersWAS | 3-10 | 4.5 |
New York GiantsNYG | 2-11 | 4.0 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Green Bay PackersGNB | 9-3-1 | 11.5 |
Chicago BearsCHI | 9-4 | 10.8 |
Detroit LionsDET | 8-5 | 10.3 |
Minnesota VikingsMIN | 5-8 | 6.8 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Tampa Bay BuccaneersTAM | 7-6 | 9.0 |
Carolina PanthersCAR | 7-6 | 8.7 |
Atlanta FalconsATL | 4-9 | 6.0 |
New Orleans SaintsNOR | 3-10 | 5.1 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Los Angeles RamsLAR | 10-3 | 12.8 |
Seattle SeahawksSEA | 10-3 | 12.5 |
San Francisco 49ersSFO | 9-4 | 11.0 |
Arizona CardinalsARI | 3-10 | 4.4 |
See each team's full range of final win totals from 2,000 season simulations: the median, the middle 50% and the 94% range.