Current records plus each team's projected final wins, the average over 2,000 simulations of the rest of the season with our drive-by-drive game model. Projections account for remaining schedule and team strength. How the model works.
NFL standings by division, Week 11, 2025: record (W-L, plus ties if any) and projected final wins (mean of 2,000 season simulations), sorted by wins, then projected wins.
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
New England PatriotsNWE | 8-2 | 12.2 |
Buffalo BillsBUF | 6-3 | 11.2 |
Miami DolphinsMIA | 3-7 | 6.8 |
New York JetsNYJ | 2-7 | 5.2 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 5-4 | 8.9 |
Baltimore RavensBAL | 4-5 | 8.2 |
Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 3-6 | 5.6 |
Cleveland BrownsCLE | 2-7 | 5.8 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Indianapolis ColtsIND | 8-2 | 12.2 |
Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 5-4 | 8.7 |
Houston TexansHOU | 4-5 | 8.5 |
Tennessee TitansTEN | 1-8 | 3.4 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Denver BroncosDEN | 8-2 | 12.0 |
Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 7-3 | 11.4 |
Kansas City ChiefsKAN | 5-4 | 9.8 |
Las Vegas RaidersLVR | 2-7 | 5.0 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 7-2 | 11.0 |
Dallas CowboysDAL | 3-5-1 | 6.5 |
Washington CommandersWAS | 3-7 | 5.9 |
New York GiantsNYG | 2-8 | 5.1 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Detroit LionsDET | 6-3 | 10.8 |
Chicago BearsCHI | 6-3 | 9.4 |
Green Bay PackersGNB | 5-3-1 | 9.6 |
Minnesota VikingsMIN | 4-5 | 7.8 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Tampa Bay BuccaneersTAM | 6-3 | 10.1 |
Carolina PanthersCAR | 5-5 | 7.8 |
Atlanta FalconsATL | 3-6 | 7.3 |
New Orleans SaintsNOR | 2-8 | 5.3 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Los Angeles RamsLAR | 7-2 | 12.2 |
Seattle SeahawksSEA | 7-2 | 11.6 |
San Francisco 49ersSFO | 6-4 | 9.8 |
Arizona CardinalsARI | 3-6 | 6.1 |
See each team's full range of final win totals from 2,000 season simulations: the median, the middle 50% and the 94% range.