NFL Standings and Projected Wins: Week 11, 2025

Current records plus each team's projected final wins, the average over 2,000 simulations of the rest of the season with our drive-by-drive game model. Projections account for remaining schedule and team strength. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

NFL standings by division, Week 11, 2025: record (W-L, plus ties if any) and projected final wins (mean of 2,000 season simulations), sorted by wins, then projected wins.

AFC East
TeamRecordProj. wins
NWE8-212.2
BUF6-311.2
MIA3-76.8
NYJ2-75.2
AFC North
TeamRecordProj. wins
PIT5-48.9
BAL4-58.2
CIN3-65.6
CLE2-75.8
AFC South
TeamRecordProj. wins
IND8-212.2
JAX5-48.7
HOU4-58.5
TEN1-83.4
AFC West
TeamRecordProj. wins
DEN8-212.0
LAC7-311.4
KAN5-49.8
LVR2-75.0
NFC East
TeamRecordProj. wins
PHI7-211.0
DAL3-5-16.5
WAS3-75.9
NYG2-85.1
NFC North
TeamRecordProj. wins
DET6-310.8
CHI6-39.4
GNB5-3-19.6
MIN4-57.8
NFC South
TeamRecordProj. wins
TAM6-310.1
CAR5-57.8
ATL3-67.3
NOR2-85.3
NFC West
TeamRecordProj. wins
LAR7-212.2
SEA7-211.6
SFO6-49.8
ARI3-66.1

Projected wins rangePremium

See each team's full range of final win totals from 2,000 season simulations: the median, the middle 50% and the 94% range.

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