NFL Standings and Projected Wins: Wild Card, 2025

Current records plus each team's projected final wins, the average over 2,000 simulations of the rest of the season with our drive-by-drive game model. Projections account for remaining schedule and team strength. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

NFL standings by division, Wild Card, 2025: record (W-L, plus ties if any) and projected final wins (mean of 2,000 season simulations), sorted by wins, then projected wins.

AFC East
TeamRecordProj. wins
NWE14-314.6
BUF12-512.4
MIA7-107.0
NYJ3-143.0
AFC North
TeamRecordProj. wins
PIT10-710.4
BAL8-98.0
CIN6-116.0
CLE5-125.0
AFC South
TeamRecordProj. wins
JAX13-413.6
HOU12-512.6
IND8-98.0
TEN3-143.0
AFC West
TeamRecordProj. wins
DEN14-314.0
LAC11-611.4
KAN6-116.0
LVR3-143.0
NFC East
TeamRecordProj. wins
PHI11-611.5
DAL7-9-17.0
WAS5-125.0
NYG4-134.0
NFC North
TeamRecordProj. wins
CHI11-611.5
GNB9-7-19.5
DET9-89.0
MIN9-89.0
NFC South
TeamRecordProj. wins
CAR8-98.2
ATL8-98.0
TAM8-98.0
NOR6-116.0
NFC West
TeamRecordProj. wins
SEA14-314.0
LAR12-512.8
SFO12-512.5
ARI3-143.0

Projected wins rangePremium

See each team's full range of final win totals from 2,000 season simulations: the median, the middle 50% and the 94% range.

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