Current records plus each team's projected final wins, the average over 2,000 simulations of the rest of the season with our drive-by-drive game model. Projections account for remaining schedule and team strength. How the model works.
NFL standings by division, Conference, 2023: record (W-L, plus ties if any) and projected final wins (mean of 2,000 season simulations), sorted by wins, then projected wins.
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Miami DolphinsMIA | 11-6 | 11.0 |
Buffalo BillsBUF | 11-6 | 11.0 |
New York JetsNYJ | 7-10 | 7.0 |
New England PatriotsNWE | 4-13 | 4.0 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Baltimore RavensBAL | 13-3 | 13.0 |
Cleveland BrownsCLE | 11-6 | 11.0 |
Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 9-6 | 10.0 |
Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 8-8 | 9.0 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Houston TexansHOU | 9-7 | 10.0 |
Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 9-8 | 9.0 |
Indianapolis ColtsIND | 8-7 | 9.0 |
Tennessee TitansTEN | 6-11 | 6.0 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Kansas City ChiefsKAN | 11-6 | 11.0 |
Las Vegas RaidersLVR | 8-9 | 8.0 |
Denver BroncosDEN | 8-8 | 8.0 |
Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 5-12 | 5.0 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Dallas CowboysDAL | 12-5 | 12.0 |
Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 11-6 | 11.0 |
New York GiantsNYG | 6-11 | 6.0 |
Washington CommandersWAS | 4-13 | 4.0 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Detroit LionsDET | 11-5 | 12.0 |
Green Bay PackersGNB | 9-8 | 9.0 |
Minnesota VikingsMIN | 7-9 | 7.0 |
Chicago BearsCHI | 7-10 | 7.0 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Tampa Bay BuccaneersTAM | 9-8 | 9.0 |
New Orleans SaintsNOR | 9-8 | 9.0 |
Atlanta FalconsATL | 7-10 | 7.0 |
Carolina PanthersCAR | 2-15 | 2.0 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
San Francisco 49ersSFO | 12-5 | 12.0 |
Los Angeles RamsLAR | 10-7 | 10.0 |
Seattle SeahawksSEA | 9-8 | 9.0 |
Arizona CardinalsARI | 4-13 | 4.0 |
See each team's full range of final win totals from 2,000 season simulations: the median, the middle 50% and the 94% range.