Current records plus each team's projected final wins, the average over 2,000 simulations of the rest of the season with our drive-by-drive game model. Projections account for remaining schedule and team strength. How the model works.
NFL standings by division, Week 4, 2024: record (W-L, plus ties if any) and projected final wins (mean of 2,000 season simulations), sorted by wins, then projected wins.
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Buffalo BillsBUF | 3-0 | 14.7 |
New York JetsNYJ | 2-1 | 9.6 |
New England PatriotsNWE | 1-2 | 7.4 |
Miami DolphinsMIA | 1-2 | 6.8 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 3-0 | 12.8 |
Baltimore RavensBAL | 1-2 | 7.7 |
Cleveland BrownsCLE | 1-2 | 6.7 |
Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 0-3 | 7.2 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Houston TexansHOU | 2-1 | 9.6 |
Indianapolis ColtsIND | 1-2 | 6.5 |
Tennessee TitansTEN | 0-3 | 7.3 |
Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 0-3 | 5.3 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Kansas City ChiefsKAN | 3-0 | 10.0 |
Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 2-1 | 11.8 |
Denver BroncosDEN | 1-2 | 9.1 |
Las Vegas RaidersLVR | 1-2 | 6.8 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 2-1 | 10.6 |
Washington CommandersWAS | 2-1 | 7.3 |
Dallas CowboysDAL | 1-2 | 8.7 |
New York GiantsNYG | 1-2 | 8.1 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Minnesota VikingsMIN | 3-0 | 13.7 |
Green Bay PackersGNB | 2-1 | 9.5 |
Detroit LionsDET | 2-1 | 9.0 |
Chicago BearsCHI | 1-2 | 9.2 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
New Orleans SaintsNOR | 2-1 | 13.2 |
Tampa Bay BuccaneersTAM | 2-1 | 8.9 |
Atlanta FalconsATL | 1-2 | 7.8 |
Carolina PanthersCAR | 1-2 | 6.8 |
| Team | Record | Proj. winsProjected wins |
|---|---|---|
Seattle SeahawksSEA | 3-0 | 12.1 |
Arizona CardinalsARI | 1-2 | 9.8 |
San Francisco 49ersSFO | 1-2 | 7.7 |
Los Angeles RamsLAR | 1-2 | 6.1 |
See each team's full range of final win totals from 2,000 season simulations: the median, the middle 50% and the 94% range.