NFL Standings and Projected Wins: Week 4, 2024

Current records plus each team's projected final wins, the average over 2,000 simulations of the rest of the season with our drive-by-drive game model. Projections account for remaining schedule and team strength. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

NFL standings by division, Week 4, 2024: record (W-L, plus ties if any) and projected final wins (mean of 2,000 season simulations), sorted by wins, then projected wins.

AFC East
TeamRecordProj. wins
BUF3-014.7
NYJ2-19.6
NWE1-27.4
MIA1-26.8
AFC North
TeamRecordProj. wins
PIT3-012.8
BAL1-27.7
CLE1-26.7
CIN0-37.2
AFC South
TeamRecordProj. wins
HOU2-19.6
IND1-26.5
TEN0-37.3
JAX0-35.3
AFC West
TeamRecordProj. wins
KAN3-010.0
LAC2-111.8
DEN1-29.1
LVR1-26.8
NFC East
TeamRecordProj. wins
PHI2-110.6
WAS2-17.3
DAL1-28.7
NYG1-28.1
NFC North
TeamRecordProj. wins
MIN3-013.7
GNB2-19.5
DET2-19.0
CHI1-29.2
NFC South
TeamRecordProj. wins
NOR2-113.2
TAM2-18.9
ATL1-27.8
CAR1-26.8
NFC West
TeamRecordProj. wins
SEA3-012.1
ARI1-29.8
SFO1-27.7
LAR1-26.1

Projected wins rangePremium

See each team's full range of final win totals from 2,000 season simulations: the median, the middle 50% and the 94% range.

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